COL
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.943
Temp
59.4°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 12 | 0.318 | 93.1 | · | 28.6% | 403 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 33.5% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 14 | 0.345 | 90.1 | · | 40.0% | 421 | 22.6% | 16.7% | 38.5% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.141 | 91.4 | · | 18.2% | 389 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 20 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.154 | 86.3 | · | 13.6% | 412 | 8.3% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 40 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.110 | 89.0 | · | 0.0% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.142 | 89.1 | · | 0.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Karros | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.068 | 90.0 | · | 9.1% | 448 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.097 | 87.5 | · | 4.8% | 401 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.073 | 89.4 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 12 |
Chase Dollander
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 13 | 0.315 | 92.1 | · | 43.5% | 402 | 23.5% | 23.1% | 34.2% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 28 | 0.240 | 88.6 | · | 28.6% | 407 | 20.6% | 23.1% | 29.0% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.119 | 89.9 | · | 13.6% | 383 | 11.8% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Adolis García | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 121 | 0.155 | 93.5 | · | 11.8% | 388 | 4.2% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.170 | 90.6 | · | 16.7% | 398 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 36 |
| 6 | J.T. Realmuto | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.093 | 89.2 | · | 10.0% | 401 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 14 | |
| 7 |
|
Bryson Stott | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 188 | 0.050 | 90.3 | · | 8.3% | 399 | 9.7% | 25.0% | 11.3% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Alec Bohm | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 215 | 0.059 | 88.5 | · | 7.7% | 354 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Justin Crawford | 12 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.085 | 88.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 31 |