COL
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.450
Temp
47.8°F
Wind
13.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Freddy Peralta
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.397 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 34.8% | 416 | 26.3% | 30.0% | 30.5% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 35 | 0.263 | 93.2 | 13.2% | 26.1% | 402 | 21.1% | 25.0% | 27.6% | 24 |
| 3 | TJ Rumfield | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 198 | 0.160 | 86.4 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 31 | |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 199 | 0.114 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 5.3% | 401 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Karros | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 200 | 0.081 | 90.2 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 448 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 222 | 0.069 | 90.3 | 4.4% | 9.1% | 408 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 223 | 0.140 | 85.5 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 228 | 0.146 | 89.8 | 3.1% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 9 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.022 | 87.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 28 |
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 90 | 0.200 | 88.6 | 16.4% | 28.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Juan Soto | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.122 | 89.1 | 14.3% | 14.3% | 344 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 10 |
| 3 |
|
Carson Benge | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.110 | 91.0 | 5.6% | 16.7% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.120 | 90.9 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 414 | 4.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Mark Vientos | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.122 | 88.6 | 3.8% | 13.3% | 420 | 11.8% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 215 | 0.073 | 91.1 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 344 | 4.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Marcus Semien | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.087 | 86.8 | 8.1% | 3.5% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Tyrone Taylor | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.111 | 86.5 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 419 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Ronny Mauricio | 8 | ⚪ D | · | · | 250 | · | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 5 |