⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
COL
@ 4:10p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.850
Temp
77.1°F
Wind
3 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 28 0.253 91.3 10.6% 7.1% 417 13.3% 9.1% 17.8% 33
2 Ryan Waldschmidt Ryan Waldschmidt 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 69 0.253 85.5 9.7% 36.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 24.8% 21
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.174 91.9 9.2% 12.5% 411 9.1% 18.2% 10.3% 47
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 89 0.208 85.4 7.2% 50.0% 401 13.6% 9.1% 13.8% 34
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.205 87.2 5.3% 45.5% 399 11.4% 8.3% 13.2% 50
6 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 252 0.119 87.6 5.1% 11.1% 382 2.9% 0.0% 5.9% 42
7 Aramis Garcia Aramis Garcia 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 264 0.109 90.4 5.9% 28.6% 398 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 18
8 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 270 0.101 88.8 5.5% 10.7% 409 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 27
9 Tommy Troy Tommy Troy 8 ⚪ D · · 286 · · · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 TJ Rumfield 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.163 85.8 9.9% 20.0% 412 7.9% 8.3% 10.5% 35
2 Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy 38 ⚪ D · · 179 0.162 83.6 8.5% 11.8% 425 8.3% 0.0% 8.1% 36
3 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.125 91.2 9.8% 15.0% 389 4.4% 0.0% 6.9% 16
4 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 242 0.109 87.5 8.7% 10.0% 401 2.2% 0.0% 6.5% 32
5 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 255 0.161 88.8 4.5% 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 27
6 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 260 0.081 89.0 7.4% 9.1% 448 2.8% 0.0% 6.4% 26
7 Brett Sullivan Brett Sullivan 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 267 0.154 84.9 · 10.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 9
8 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 277 0.080 86.7 · 0.0% 361 5.9% 0.0% 5.4% 25
9 Sterlin Thompson Sterlin Thompson 7 ⚪ D · · 287 · 87.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 0
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