COL
@
9:40p
AZ
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.938
Temp
80.7°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Tomoyuki Sugano
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.238 | 91.0 | 14.2% | 27.3% | 417 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 22.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 50 | 🟠 C | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 83 | 0.152 | 91.9 | 10.5% | 23.1% | 409 | 9.4% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.178 | 84.9 | 7.3% | 19.2% | 401 | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 42 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.230 | 87.1 | 3.9% | 15.8% | 399 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 51 |
| 5 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.180 | 86.2 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 351 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 176 | 0.151 | 88.4 | 7.7% | 15.8% | 403 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 193 | 0.159 | 89.9 | 8.3% | 12.5% | 408 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo ⚡ | 25 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.135 | 87.3 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 382 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 238 | 0.111 | 88.7 | 4.2% | 33.3% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 23 |
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | · | 44 | 0.369 | 89.7 | 13.5% | 25.0% | 417 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 15.8% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 57 | 🟠 C | +390 | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.253 | 91.7 | 13.2% | 30.0% | 400 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 31 |
| 3 | TJ Rumfield | 36 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 179 | 0.172 | 85.8 | 8.1% | 20.6% | 413 | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 33 | |
| 4 |
|
Edouard Julien ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | +900 | · | 219 | 0.100 | 91.2 | 8.2% | 15.0% | 389 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 231 | 0.058 | 87.8 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 408 | 2.5% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 20 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.094 | 89.3 | 5.5% | 9.1% | 406 | 3.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 18 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.075 | 88.0 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 401 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 17 | ⚪ D | +900 | 🌧️ COOL | 249 | 0.139 | 88.7 | 1.8% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Karros | 13 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 258 | 0.076 | 88.9 | 4.9% | 9.1% | 448 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 28 |