⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
COL
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.85×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.938
Temp
80.7°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 66 🔵 C+ +330 🌤️ WARM 31 0.238 91.0 14.2% 27.3% 417 13.8% 8.3% 22.5% 34
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 50 🟠 C +370 🌤️ WARM 83 0.152 91.9 10.5% 23.1% 409 9.4% 16.7% 11.2% 43
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 49 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 91 0.178 84.9 7.3% 19.2% 401 14.0% 16.7% 12.7% 34
4 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 42 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 136 0.230 87.1 3.9% 15.8% 399 11.8% 7.7% 15.3% 51
5 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.180 86.2 7.1% 10.0% 351 3.3% 0.0% 13.6% 5
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 36 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 176 0.151 88.4 7.7% 15.8% 403 9.1% 0.0% 10.0% 15
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 193 0.159 89.9 8.3% 12.5% 408 3.3% 0.0% 8.5% 12
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 25 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 226 0.135 87.3 2.9% 4.5% 382 2.9% 0.0% 7.0% 41
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 238 0.111 88.7 4.2% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 62 🔵 C+ +425 · 44 0.369 89.7 13.5% 25.0% 417 18.2% 7.7% 15.8% 30
2 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 57 🟠 C +390 🌧️ COOL 62 0.253 91.7 13.2% 30.0% 400 19.0% 16.7% 21.8% 31
3 TJ Rumfield 36 ⚪ D +850 · 179 0.172 85.8 8.1% 20.6% 413 8.1% 7.7% 10.3% 33
4 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 27 ⚪ D +900 · 219 0.100 91.2 8.2% 15.0% 389 4.5% 0.0% 7.0% 19
5 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 231 0.058 87.8 5.6% 7.7% 408 2.5% 0.0% 6.2% 15
6 Willi Castro Willi Castro 20 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 245 0.094 89.3 5.5% 9.1% 406 3.0% 8.3% 6.3% 29
7 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 18 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 248 0.075 88.0 6.8% 10.0% 401 2.3% 0.0% 6.3% 27
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 17 ⚪ D +900 🌧️ COOL 249 0.139 88.7 1.8% 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 26
9 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 13 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 258 0.076 88.9 4.9% 9.1% 448 2.9% 0.0% 6.4% 28
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