⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
COL
@ 9:40p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.960
Temp
82.0°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 70 🟡 B +370 🔥 HOT 10 0.238 91.0 14.5% 27.3% 417 14.3% 16.7% 25.5% 35
2 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 47 ⚪ D +575 🌤️ WARM 42 0.178 85.2 7.5% 19.2% 401 14.3% 16.7% 12.7% 31
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 42 ⚪ D +370 🌧️ COOL 51 0.152 91.9 10.3% 23.1% 408 9.7% 16.7% 9.0% 42
4 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 40 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 55 0.230 87.2 4.1% 17.6% 399 12.1% 7.7% 12.6% 51
5 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 65 0.159 89.9 8.3% 12.5% 408 3.4% 0.0% 9.9% 2
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.180 85.9 7.4% 10.0% 351 3.4% 0.0% 10.9% 7
7 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 37 ⚪ D +575 · 72 0.151 88.6 7.9% 15.8% 403 9.5% 0.0% 8.0% 17
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 26 ⚪ D +850 · 100 0.135 87.6 3.0% 5.0% 382 3.0% 0.0% 5.7% 41
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.111 88.3 4.3% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 63 🔵 C+ +600 🌧️ COOL 17 0.369 89.6 13.9% 28.6% 417 18.6% 7.7% 14.4% 31
2 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 62 🔵 C+ +370 🌧️ COOL 20 0.253 92.3 13.5% 33.3% 400 19.5% 18.2% 22.4% 29
3 TJ Rumfield 39 ⚪ D +700 · 59 0.172 86.0 8.3% 0.0% 413 8.3% 7.7% 5.2% 35
4 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 28 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 96 0.075 88.0 7.1% 3.6% 401 2.3% 0.0% 4.9% 23
5 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.058 87.8 5.6% 0.0% 408 2.6% 0.0% 5.0% 15
6 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 98 0.100 91.3 8.3% 11.8% 389 4.7% 0.0% 5.8% 22
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 23 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 104 0.094 89.5 5.6% 0.0% 406 3.1% 8.3% 4.4% 29
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 20 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 107 0.139 88.9 1.9% 0.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 25
9 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 19 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 111 0.076 89.0 5.1% 7.7% 448 2.9% 0.0% 5.8% 26
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