CIN
@
6:40p
TB
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.975
Wind
0 mph
dome
Rhett Lowder
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.214 | 90.2 | 8.5% | 29.4% | 399 | 27.8% | 36.4% | 21.0% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.167 | 93.0 | 10.2% | 13.6% | 399 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Fraley | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.137 | 87.9 | 4.0% | 10.0% | · | 16.7% | 25.0% | 7.5% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.141 | 87.0 | 2.5% | 11.1% | 367 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 104 | 0.169 | 91.9 | 7.3% | 21.4% | 368 | 11.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Jonny DeLuca | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.210 | 89.2 | 3.6% | 28.6% | 438 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Fortes | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.128 | 87.2 | 2.4% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.069 | 85.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.048 | 82.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 48 |