CIN
@
1:05p
PHI
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.158
Temp
72.1°F
Wind
6.9 mph
out
Roof
open
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
JJ Bleday | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.434 | 92.1 | 15.0% | 33.3% | 386 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 25.9% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 18 | 0.226 | 90.7 | 16.3% | 20.6% | 388 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 24.4% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 19 | 0.226 | 94.1 | 14.7% | 20.0% | 395 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 21.1% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 70 | 🟡 B | · | ❄ COLD | 25 | 0.268 | 90.0 | 12.5% | 40.0% | 393 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Spencer Steer | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 29 | 0.190 | 90.4 | 14.5% | 12.9% | 392 | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 48 |
| 6 |
|
Will Benson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.149 | 91.7 | 13.0% | 7.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 88 | 0.130 | 87.8 | 7.0% | 8.6% | 398 | 8.9% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 195 | 0.062 | 90.4 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 17 |
| 9 | P.J. Higgins | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 248 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 0 |
Andrew Abbott
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Harper | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 8 | 0.266 | 89.0 | 14.2% | 18.8% | 411 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 37.4% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Bryson Stott | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 6.5% | 9.7% | 390 | 12.5% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.111 | 90.1 | 5.2% | 5.9% | 388 | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 122 | 0.150 | 89.8 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 398 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Adolis García | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.130 | 92.5 | 7.6% | 33.3% | 388 | 3.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.093 | 89.7 | 2.1% | 14.3% | 376 | 7.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Otto Kemp | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.158 | 80.4 | · | 7.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 2 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.080 | 88.3 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 401 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 30 | |
| 9 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.092 | 87.0 | 3.4% | 12.5% | 442 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 20 |