⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CIN
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.150
Temp
71.5°F
Wind
3.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 81 🟢 A · · 7 0.266 88.9 14.4% 36.0% 411 23.3% 33.3% 54.7% 34
2 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.147 90.0 6.6% 10.0% 390 12.8% 27.3% 19.8% 39
3 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.140 87.8 1.8% 11.8% 382 6.5% 18.2% 17.2% 30
4 Adolis García Adolis García 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 118 0.130 92.6 7.6% 10.5% 388 3.1% 9.1% 6.7% 29
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.150 89.8 6.2% 13.3% 398 4.9% 0.0% 14.0% 41
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.093 89.5 2.2% 5.9% 376 7.1% 16.7% 9.9% 37
7 Trea Turner Trea Turner 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.111 90.1 4.6% 11.1% 383 9.3% 0.0% 6.7% 42
8 Rafael Marchán Rafael Marchán 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 210 0.056 86.5 2.3% 0.0% 378 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 3
9 Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 214 0.092 86.8 3.5% 0.0% 442 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 19
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 78 🟡 B · · 8 0.434 92.1 14.0% 16.7% 386 13.3% 25.0% 30.1% 41
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 71 🟡 B · · 16 0.226 90.6 16.7% 33.3% 388 9.7% 15.4% 24.1% 38
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 69 🔵 C+ · · 20 0.226 94.0 14.8% 37.5% 395 15.9% 7.7% 23.5% 42
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 64 🔵 C+ · · 31 0.190 90.7 15.0% 25.0% 392 11.4% 15.4% 17.0% 47
5 Dane Myers Dane Myers 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.104 89.7 11.1% 15.4% 378 10.5% 100.0% 16.4% 11
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 46 ⚪ D · · 90 0.130 88.3 7.2% 30.0% 398 9.1% 23.1% 19.6% 39
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 42 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 107 0.121 90.7 12.0% 9.1% 388 5.1% 9.1% 8.6% 26
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 160 0.093 90.4 9.4% 20.0% 365 7.4% 0.0% 10.6% 24
9 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 197 0.062 88.9 7.1% 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 11.6% 14
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