CIN
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.15×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.150
Temp
71.5°F
Wind
3.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Bryce Harper | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 7 | 0.266 | 88.9 | 14.4% | 36.0% | 411 | 23.3% | 33.3% | 54.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Bryson Stott | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 6.6% | 10.0% | 390 | 12.8% | 27.3% | 19.8% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Justin Crawford | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.140 | 87.8 | 1.8% | 11.8% | 382 | 6.5% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Adolis García | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.130 | 92.6 | 7.6% | 10.5% | 388 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 125 | 0.150 | 89.8 | 6.2% | 13.3% | 398 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 14.0% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.093 | 89.5 | 2.2% | 5.9% | 376 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 9.9% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Trea Turner | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.111 | 90.1 | 4.6% | 11.1% | 383 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Rafael Marchán | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 210 | 0.056 | 86.5 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 3 |
| 9 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 214 | 0.092 | 86.8 | 3.5% | 0.0% | 442 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 19 |
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
JJ Bleday | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 8 | 0.434 | 92.1 | 14.0% | 16.7% | 386 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 30.1% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Sal Stewart | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 16 | 0.226 | 90.6 | 16.7% | 33.3% | 388 | 9.7% | 15.4% | 24.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 20 | 0.226 | 94.0 | 14.8% | 37.5% | 395 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 23.5% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 31 | 0.190 | 90.7 | 15.0% | 25.0% | 392 | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 47 |
| 5 |
|
Dane Myers | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.104 | 89.7 | 11.1% | 15.4% | 378 | 10.5% | 100.0% | 16.4% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Matt McLain | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.130 | 88.3 | 7.2% | 30.0% | 398 | 9.1% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Tyler Stephenson ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 107 | 0.121 | 90.7 | 12.0% | 9.1% | 388 | 5.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 160 | 0.093 | 90.4 | 9.4% | 20.0% | 365 | 7.4% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Blake Dunn | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.062 | 88.9 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6% | 14 |