CHC
@
2:35p
TEX
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.941
Temp
70.9°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Josh Jung | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.228 | 90.3 | · | 22.2% | 378 | 14.7% | 8.3% | 19.0% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Corey Seager | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.207 | 91.4 | · | 30.4% | 394 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.156 | 90.0 | · | 24.0% | 399 | 11.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.170 | 91.7 | · | 17.4% | 396 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Joc Pederson | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.099 | 92.4 | · | 12.0% | 388 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Danny Jansen | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 90 | 0.134 | 88.5 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Evan Carter | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 126 | 0.144 | 88.6 | · | 13.3% | 376 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 141 | 0.125 | 90.8 | · | 8.3% | 365 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 9 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 243 | 0.024 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 13 |
Jacob deGrom
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 50 | 0.230 | 89.4 | · | 33.3% | 397 | 25.6% | 15.4% | 27.5% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.282 | 90.4 | · | 28.6% | 390 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 24.1% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 106 | 0.225 | 90.5 | · | 12.0% | 393 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 131 | 0.121 | 91.8 | · | 12.0% | 383 | 10.5% | 23.1% | 13.2% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 152 | 0.206 | 87.0 | · | 25.0% | 357 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.158 | 86.0 | · | 6.9% | 383 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 46 |
| 7 |
|
Michael Busch | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.088 | 87.7 | · | 9.4% | 408 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.133 | 90.9 | · | 0.0% | 414 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 26 |
| 9 |
|
Alex Bregman | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 227 | 0.113 | 89.2 | · | 21.7% | 395 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 36 |