⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
CHC
@ 7:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.200
Temp
82.1°F
Wind
10.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 16 0.281 94.2 12.4% 40.0% 406 21.4% 23.1% 31.0% 37
2 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.169 89.5 8.3% 30.0% 403 13.0% 18.2% 15.1% 32
3 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.157 90.4 8.9% 10.0% 394 8.3% 9.1% 10.2% 32
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 121 0.164 91.3 9.9% 8.3% 408 13.5% 7.7% 10.3% 34
5 José Fermín José Fermín 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 165 0.130 85.2 4.5% 16.7% 372 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 15
6 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.066 88.7 8.1% 9.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 6
7 Nelson Velázquez Nelson Velázquez 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 219 0.147 86.3 4.7% 16.7% 373 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 28
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.082 86.8 5.4% 0.0% 373 2.0% 0.0% 6.0% 25
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 16 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 246 0.064 87.5 3.1% 14.3% 406 1.9% 0.0% 9.0% 26
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 65 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.309 94.4 9.9% 15.8% 405 5.3% 25.0% 27.4% 17
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.228 89.8 10.8% 30.8% 398 24.1% 18.2% 25.9% 28
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.162 88.6 9.6% 14.3% 398 10.7% 23.1% 17.8% 33
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 98 0.135 91.3 8.0% 12.9% 386 10.9% 15.4% 11.6% 30
5 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.162 88.7 7.1% 24.0% 414 8.3% 0.0% 11.4% 33
6 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 159 0.148 89.7 7.6% 12.5% 398 12.7% 8.3% 9.0% 28
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.141 88.7 6.2% 18.2% 390 5.6% 0.0% 9.2% 45
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.093 89.6 7.3% 0.0% 414 4.1% 0.0% 6.3% 24
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.113 85.1 3.2% 5.6% 383 7.3% 0.0% 7.1% 48
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