AZ
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.993
Temp
78.6°F
Wind
9.2 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Ryne Nelson
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 44 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.207 | 91.2 | · | 25.0% | 394 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Josh Jung | 39 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 75 | 0.228 | 90.4 | · | 18.2% | 378 | 13.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 43 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger | 37 | ⚪ D | +400 | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.156 | 89.6 | · | 24.0% | 399 | 10.8% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 36 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.170 | 91.9 | · | 16.7% | 396 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Joc Pederson | 33 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 111 | 0.099 | 92.7 | · | 15.4% | 385 | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Danny Jansen | 32 | ⚪ D | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.134 | 88.0 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 13 |
| 7 |
|
Evan Carter | 32 | ⚪ D | +575 | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.144 | 88.3 | · | 15.2% | 371 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 164 | 0.125 | 90.8 | · | 8.3% | 365 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 13 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 239 | 0.024 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 7 |
Kumar Rocker
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 43 | ⚪ D | +400 | · | 51 | 0.274 | 90.2 | · | 22.2% | 408 | 13.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 41 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 61 | 0.326 | 87.1 | · | 20.0% | 399 | 15.4% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 48 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.179 | 83.9 | · | 21.7% | 401 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.167 | 88.9 | · | 17.6% | 403 | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.140 | 86.8 | · | 6.7% | 382 | 3.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.204 | 85.9 | · | 11.1% | 351 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.171 | 89.9 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Ketel Marte | 23 | ⚪ D | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 195 | 0.159 | 91.0 | · | 23.8% | 411 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.145 | 88.8 | · | 42.9% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 17 |