AZ
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cool air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.742
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
10.4 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 9 | 0.274 | 90.0 | · | 23.5% | 408 | 15.0% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.326 | 87.0 | · | 21.4% | 395 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 18.9% | 44 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.179 | 83.5 | · | 23.8% | 401 | 14.7% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.167 | 89.2 | · | 17.6% | 403 | 14.3% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.140 | 86.0 | · | 6.7% | 382 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Jorge Barrosa | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.204 | 85.9 | · | 11.1% | 351 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Ketel Marte | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.159 | 91.3 | · | 25.0% | 411 | 4.3% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Alek Thomas | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 69 | 0.171 | 89.9 | · | 12.5% | 408 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.145 | 89.8 | · | 42.9% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 17 |
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 33 | 0.207 | 91.6 | · | 28.0% | 394 | 17.6% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Josh Jung | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 48 | 0.228 | 90.3 | · | 22.2% | 378 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.156 | 90.0 | · | 24.0% | 399 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.170 | 91.8 | · | 16.7% | 396 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Evan Carter | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.144 | 88.6 | · | 15.6% | 371 | 19.0% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Joc Pederson | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.099 | 92.8 | · | 12.0% | 388 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Danny Jansen | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 85 | 0.134 | 88.0 | · | 25.0% | 393 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 88 | 0.125 | 90.8 | · | 8.3% | 365 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 4 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.024 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 11 |