⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
AZ
@ 10:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.978
Temp
59.6°F
Wind
6.0 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 75 🟡 B +425 ❄ COLD 12 0.278 91.6 14.6% 39.3% 384 21.1% 20.0% 34.8% 21
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 65 🔵 C+ +425 · 31 0.228 93.1 12.3% 25.0% 401 7.1% 10.0% 21.2% 16
3 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 63 🔵 C+ · · 38 0.184 90.4 9.5% 14.3% 411 23.1% 36.4% 20.6% 46
4 J. P. Crawford J. P. Crawford 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.147 88.1 9.8% 30.0% 385 100.0% 100.0% 19.2% 29
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 57 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 70 0.175 91.1 8.5% 20.0% 389 9.3% 18.2% 14.9% 34
6 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 54 🟠 C · · 86 0.157 87.5 11.3% 14.6% 390 14.9% 0.0% 12.5% 0
7 Cole Young Cole Young 39 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 183 0.133 87.9 7.7% 6.7% 395 5.6% 0.0% 7.6% 34
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 34 ⚪ D +425 ❄ COLD 208 0.097 87.6 7.9% 15.6% 402 7.9% 0.0% 8.6% 41
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 238 0.038 86.2 3.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 3
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 63 🔵 C+ +390 🌤️ WARM 42 0.251 91.1 10.0% 24.0% 417 11.4% 9.1% 18.0% 38
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 59 🟠 C +390 🌤️ WARM 56 0.197 90.9 9.2% 19.4% 415 10.5% 27.3% 21.7% 48
3 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 55 🟠 C +750 · 81 0.204 89.3 9.6% 13.0% 410 7.7% 25.0% 15.9% 30
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 51 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 103 0.199 85.6 7.0% 17.2% 401 12.5% 10.0% 12.2% 30
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 41 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 166 0.195 87.0 5.5% 13.6% 399 10.3% 0.0% 11.8% 45
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 39 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 181 0.140 88.4 7.0% 18.2% 396 11.1% 10.0% 9.0% 21
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.175 89.9 7.9% 12.5% 408 3.1% 0.0% 10.0% 13
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 33 ⚪ D +750 · 216 0.108 87.3 5.3% 4.2% 372 5.0% 8.3% 6.8% 45
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 244 0.097 88.0 5.1% 25.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 31
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