AZ
@
10:10p
SEA
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.696
Temp
51.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
Zac Gallen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | ❄ COLD | 33 | 0.278 | 91.9 | 14.6% | 39.3% | 382 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 57 | 🟠 C | +500 | · | 56 | 0.228 | 93.1 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 401 | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 17 |
| 3 |
|
J. P. Crawford | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.147 | 88.0 | 9.2% | 30.0% | 381 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 11.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.184 | 90.2 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 413 | 21.1% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 44 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 50 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 85 | 0.175 | 91.2 | 8.7% | 20.8% | 389 | 9.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 107 | 0.157 | 87.5 | 11.4% | 14.6% | 390 | 15.2% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Cole Young | 32 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.133 | 88.1 | 7.9% | 6.7% | 395 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Naylor | 29 | ⚪ D | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 208 | 0.097 | 87.4 | 7.7% | 15.6% | 402 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 241 | 0.038 | 86.2 | 4.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 3 |
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 53 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 73 | 0.251 | 91.3 | 8.6% | 25.0% | 417 | 11.8% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 49 | ⚪ D | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 89 | 0.197 | 91.0 | 7.8% | 20.6% | 415 | 10.8% | 27.3% | 17.2% | 49 |
| 3 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 45 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 129 | 0.204 | 88.8 | 8.0% | 13.0% | 410 | 8.3% | 25.0% | 15.0% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.199 | 85.5 | 6.0% | 17.2% | 401 | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 34 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.195 | 87.3 | 4.4% | 13.6% | 399 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo | 30 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 205 | 0.140 | 88.3 | 5.9% | 18.2% | 396 | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 211 | 0.175 | 89.9 | 6.7% | 12.5% | 408 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 10 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 22 | ⚪ D | +950 | · | 232 | 0.108 | 87.6 | 4.5% | 4.2% | 382 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 248 | 0.097 | 88.1 | 4.4% | 25.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 31 |