⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
AZ
@ 10:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady wind in · retractable roof
Combined
0.696
Temp
51.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
in
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Luke Raley Luke Raley 63 🔵 C+ +425 ❄ COLD 33 0.278 91.9 14.6% 39.3% 382 18.9% 10.0% 16.4% 19
2 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 57 🟠 C +500 · 56 0.228 93.1 12.5% 25.0% 401 7.3% 10.0% 14.9% 17
3 J. P. Crawford J. P. Crawford 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.147 88.0 9.2% 30.0% 381 100.0% 100.0% 11.8% 29
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 53 🟠 C · · 70 0.184 90.2 9.1% 11.1% 413 21.1% 27.3% 15.6% 44
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 50 🟠 C +625 🌤️ WARM 85 0.175 91.2 8.7% 20.8% 389 9.4% 18.2% 15.0% 33
6 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 47 ⚪ D · · 107 0.157 87.5 11.4% 14.6% 390 15.2% 0.0% 10.8% 0
7 Cole Young Cole Young 32 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 192 0.133 88.1 7.9% 6.7% 395 5.7% 0.0% 5.7% 34
8 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 29 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 208 0.097 87.4 7.7% 15.6% 402 8.1% 0.0% 6.4% 41
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 241 0.038 86.2 4.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 3
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 53 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 73 0.251 91.3 8.6% 25.0% 417 11.8% 9.1% 14.5% 38
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 49 ⚪ D +475 🌤️ WARM 89 0.197 91.0 7.8% 20.6% 415 10.8% 27.3% 17.2% 49
3 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 45 ⚪ D +950 · 129 0.204 88.8 8.0% 13.0% 410 8.3% 25.0% 15.0% 28
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 140 0.199 85.5 6.0% 17.2% 401 12.8% 10.0% 10.7% 30
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 34 ⚪ D +1000 🌧️ COOL 184 0.195 87.3 4.4% 13.6% 399 10.5% 0.0% 9.4% 45
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 30 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 205 0.140 88.3 5.9% 18.2% 396 11.5% 11.1% 7.3% 20
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.175 89.9 6.7% 12.5% 408 3.2% 0.0% 8.8% 10
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 22 ⚪ D +950 · 232 0.108 87.6 4.5% 4.2% 382 2.6% 0.0% 5.4% 43
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 15 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 248 0.097 88.1 4.4% 25.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 31
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