AZ
@
3:10p
COL
Park Factor
1.12×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.787
Temp
63.7°F
Wind
11.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Michael Soroka
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 14 | 0.369 | 90.1 | 15.0% | 29.4% | 417 | 20.5% | 16.7% | 39.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 28 | 0.253 | 92.2 | 14.3% | 31.0% | 400 | 21.1% | 18.2% | 29.1% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.212 | 83.8 | 5.4% | 16.7% | 425 | 11.1% | 33.3% | 26.9% | 24 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.172 | 86.1 | 8.1% | 21.2% | 413 | 9.4% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 34 | |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.100 | 91.5 | 9.0% | 15.0% | 389 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.094 | 88.7 | 6.2% | 10.5% | 406 | 3.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Troy Johnston | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.139 | 89.0 | 2.0% | 15.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 21 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 231 | 0.076 | 89.6 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 448 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Brett Sullivan | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 234 | 0.091 | 84.4 | · | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 10 |
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ryan Waldschmidt | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.295 | 84.7 | 11.1% | 20.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.0% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.238 | 90.4 | 11.9% | 21.1% | 408 | 12.0% | 8.3% | 26.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.151 | 88.9 | 8.6% | 17.6% | 403 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.178 | 84.6 | 7.3% | 20.8% | 401 | 12.8% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 75 | 0.230 | 87.5 | 4.5% | 20.0% | 399 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 24.5% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.122 | 88.6 | 11.7% | 11.8% | 427 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 166 | 0.135 | 87.1 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 382 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.111 | 88.8 | 4.5% | 37.5% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.045 | 86.8 | 6.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 29 |