ATL
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.855
Temp
60.7°F
Wind
8.7 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 94 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 1 | 0.298 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 26.1% | 424 | 22.7% | 36.4% | 41.3% | 39 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.182 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 33.3% | 399 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 31.0% | 26 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 75 | 🟡 B | · | · | 18 | 0.220 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 31.6% | 394 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 23.0% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 32 | 0.255 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 26.7% | 396 | 15.8% | 11.1% | 33.1% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 54 | 0.110 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 5.6% | 411 | 12.5% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 55 | 0.143 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 17.6% | · | 9.1% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 108 | 0.161 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 16.7% | 376 | 13.6% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 119 | 0.162 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 11.1% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 131 | 0.071 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 22 |