ATL
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.748
Temp
40.8°F
Wind
1.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Reynaldo López
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.290 | 94.7 | 23.8% | 46.7% | 395 | 44.4% | 37.5% | 39.1% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.272 | 91.9 | 14.0% | 26.1% | 379 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Daylen Lile | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 77 | 0.127 | 88.4 | 3.2% | 7.4% | · | 25.0% | 28.6% | 7.8% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Joey Wiemer | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 85 | 0.227 | 91.0 | 10.0% | 40.0% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 11 |
| 5 | Luis García Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.111 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 9.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 28 | |
| 6 |
|
Brady House | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 159 | 0.118 | 88.7 | 9.8% | 13.3% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Young | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 163 | 0.149 | 88.4 | 7.1% | 18.2% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 218 | 0.047 | 80.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 232 | 0.015 | 85.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 32 |
Foster Griffin
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 5 | 0.311 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 26.1% | 424 | 23.8% | 36.4% | 31.7% | 38 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.178 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 33.3% | 399 | 19.0% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 23 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 40 | 0.197 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 27.8% | 394 | 23.8% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 44 | 0.255 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 26.7% | 396 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 25.4% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 57 | 0.116 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 5.9% | 411 | 14.3% | 16.7% | 7.3% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 65 | 0.147 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 17.6% | · | 9.5% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.168 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 16.7% | 376 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 155 | 0.073 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 158 | 0.156 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 33 |