⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATL
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.748
Temp
40.8°F
Wind
1.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 93 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.290 94.7 23.8% 46.7% 395 44.4% 37.5% 39.1% 31
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 70 🟡 B · · 22 0.272 91.9 14.0% 26.1% 379 12.5% 12.5% 22.0% 37
3 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 77 0.127 88.4 3.2% 7.4% · 25.0% 28.6% 7.8% 41
4 Joey Wiemer Joey Wiemer 46 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 85 0.227 91.0 10.0% 40.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 11
5 Luis García Jr. 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.111 90.8 8.5% 9.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 28
6 Brady House Brady House 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 159 0.118 88.7 9.8% 13.3% 395 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 34
7 Jacob Young Jacob Young 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 163 0.149 88.4 7.1% 18.2% 383 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 36
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 218 0.047 80.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 24
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.015 85.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 32
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 87 🟢 A · · 5 0.311 92.5 18.8% 26.1% 424 23.8% 36.4% 31.7% 38
2 Michael Harris II 66 🔵 C+ · · 35 0.178 92.1 15.6% 33.3% 399 19.0% 27.3% 23.2% 23
3 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 63 🔵 C+ · · 40 0.197 89.4 16.4% 27.8% 394 23.8% 0.0% 15.1% 39
4 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 62 🔵 C+ · · 44 0.255 91.5 9.1% 26.7% 396 16.7% 11.1% 25.4% 29
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 54 🟠 C · · 57 0.116 88.0 16.4% 5.9% 411 14.3% 16.7% 7.3% 34
6 Austin Riley Austin Riley 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 65 0.147 89.1 5.8% 17.6% · 9.5% 18.2% 15.0% 40
7 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 128 0.168 86.0 3.5% 16.7% 376 14.3% 18.2% 11.4% 40
8 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 155 0.073 89.8 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 23
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 158 0.156 88.3 7.8% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 33
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