⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
ATL
@ 4:10p
SEA
T-Mobile Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.846
Temp
53.3°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.330 93.4 · 46.2% 414 32.4% 50.0% 39.1% 41
2 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 8 0.216 87.1 · 18.5% 386 20.6% 33.3% 24.8% 47
3 Michael Harris II 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.220 94.9 · 33.3% 390 18.8% 20.0% 29.0% 29
4 Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.197 91.7 · 28.6% 401 23.5% 16.7% 24.0% 38
5 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 99 0.219 90.1 · 18.2% 398 10.3% 0.0% 14.5% 13
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.130 89.2 · 11.8% 411 10.0% 8.3% 7.3% 27
7 Austin Riley Austin Riley 31 ⚪ D · · 145 0.128 91.0 · 16.0% 404 8.8% 8.3% 10.7% 30
8 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.151 87.3 · 10.5% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 40
9 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 251 0.068 89.5 · 11.1% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 22 0.200 86.7 · 11.1% 390 20.6% 25.0% 21.5% 24
2 Luke Raley Luke Raley 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 38 0.244 93.2 · 33.3% 391 15.8% 8.3% 26.3% 14
3 Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.238 95.7 · 16.7% 409 4.3% 0.0% 14.9% 14
4 Julio Rodríguez Julio Rodríguez 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.095 89.4 · 41.7% 412 10.5% 16.7% 17.2% 43
5 Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.150 90.5 · 33.3% 377 5.9% 8.3% 12.9% 28
6 Cole Young Cole Young 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.134 88.0 · 33.3% 395 8.8% 8.3% 10.6% 33
7 Josh Naylor Josh Naylor 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.124 87.4 · 0.0% 402 11.1% 18.2% 6.5% 36
8 J.P. Crawford 35 ⚪ D · · 116 0.113 89.6 · 15.4% 374 12.1% 25.0% 12.5% 39
9 Leo Rivas Leo Rivas 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 190 0.040 86.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 22
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