ATL
@
4:10p
SEA
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.846
Temp
53.3°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Bryan Woo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.330 | 93.4 | · | 46.2% | 414 | 32.4% | 50.0% | 39.1% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 8 | 0.216 | 87.1 | · | 18.5% | 386 | 20.6% | 33.3% | 24.8% | 47 |
| 3 | Michael Harris II | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.220 | 94.9 | · | 33.3% | 390 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 29.0% | 29 | |
| 4 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 34 | 0.197 | 91.7 | · | 28.6% | 401 | 23.5% | 16.7% | 24.0% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.219 | 90.1 | · | 18.2% | 398 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 130 | 0.130 | 89.2 | · | 11.8% | 411 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Riley | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 145 | 0.128 | 91.0 | · | 16.0% | 404 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 192 | 0.151 | 87.3 | · | 10.5% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 251 | 0.068 | 89.5 | · | 11.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 30 |
Martín Pérez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 22 | 0.200 | 86.7 | · | 11.1% | 390 | 20.6% | 25.0% | 21.5% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Luke Raley | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.244 | 93.2 | · | 33.3% | 391 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 26.3% | 14 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 43 | 0.238 | 95.7 | · | 16.7% | 409 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 14.9% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.095 | 89.4 | · | 41.7% | 412 | 10.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 43 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 96 | 0.150 | 90.5 | · | 33.3% | 377 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.134 | 88.0 | · | 33.3% | 395 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.124 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 402 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 6.5% | 36 |
| 8 | J.P. Crawford | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.113 | 89.6 | · | 15.4% | 374 | 12.1% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 39 | |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 190 | 0.040 | 86.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 22 |