ATL
@
7:15p
PHI
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.079
Temp
61.2°F
Wind
7.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Chris Sale
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 3 | 0.313 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 35.3% | 409 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 42.4% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 84 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.271 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 19.1% | 422 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.149 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 92 | 0.162 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 15.4% | 413 | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.130 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 10.0% | 359 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.109 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.061 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 354 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 30 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.104 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 401 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 23 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 196 | 0.018 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 28 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 89 | 🟢 A | · | · | 7 | 0.311 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 29.4% | 424 | 22.2% | 27.3% | 35.0% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 32 | 0.217 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 33.3% | 394 | 27.8% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Smith | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.298 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 30.8% | 396 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 28.5% | 29 |
| 4 | Michael Harris II | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 52 | 0.151 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 27.3% | 399 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 25 | |
| 5 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 53 | 0.130 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 411 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 8.1% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Austin Riley | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 65 | 0.173 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 18.8% | · | 11.1% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 120 | 0.167 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 17.4% | 376 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.174 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 14.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 238 | 0.064 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 26 |