ATL
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.319
Temp
77.8°F
Wind
8.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 99 | 🥇 S | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.320 | 92.5 | 18.8% | 31.2% | 424 | 23.5% | 30.0% | 43.6% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 14 | 0.230 | 89.4 | 16.4% | 33.3% | 394 | 29.4% | 20.0% | 26.2% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 30 | 0.137 | 88.0 | 16.4% | 6.7% | 411 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 10.5% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Smith | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 44 | 0.262 | 91.5 | 9.1% | 27.3% | 396 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 24.0% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.178 | 86.0 | 3.5% | 20.0% | 376 | 17.6% | 20.0% | 27.6% | 37 |
| 6 | Michael Harris II | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.113 | 92.1 | 15.6% | 20.0% | 399 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 23 | |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 78 | 0.182 | 88.3 | 7.8% | 16.7% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.1% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Austin Riley | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.100 | 89.1 | 5.8% | 7.1% | · | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 186 | 0.068 | 89.8 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 24 |
Martín Pérez
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 91 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 4 | 0.334 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 37.5% | 409 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 36.4% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 12 | 0.257 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 20.0% | 422 | 21.4% | 22.2% | 30.8% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.162 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 15.4% | 413 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Adolis García | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 85 | 0.154 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.137 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 10.5% | 359 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 10.1% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.113 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 166 | 0.065 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 10.0% | 354 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 31 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.113 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 10.0% | 401 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 23 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 185 | 0.018 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 32 |