ATL
@
1:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.196
Temp
77.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 1 | 0.294 | 93.5 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 413 | 25.0% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 41 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 80 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.215 | 93.4 | 16.2% | 33.3% | 401 | 20.4% | 30.8% | 40.3% | 45 | |
| 3 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 13 | 0.148 | 90.0 | 15.3% | 0.0% | 407 | 13.2% | 25.0% | 18.2% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Austin Riley | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 23 | 0.185 | 91.0 | 13.0% | 23.1% | 409 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 32.7% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jorge Mateo | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.136 | 90.3 | 13.6% | 14.3% | 390 | 12.5% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.157 | 86.4 | 8.0% | 12.0% | 389 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 47 |
| 7 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 154 | 0.118 | 86.8 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 389 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Ha-Seong Kim | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 172 | 0.000 | 86.5 | 7.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 16 |
| 9 |
|
Chadwick Tromp | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 255 | · | 86.5 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 17 |
Spencer Strider
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 86 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.285 | 90.2 | 11.4% | 40.0% | 398 | 25.0% | 30.0% | 47.6% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
JJ Bleday | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.314 | 91.0 | 11.2% | 31.6% | 387 | 20.8% | 30.0% | 44.3% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz ⚡ | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 14 | 0.235 | 94.2 | 11.2% | 20.0% | 394 | 16.4% | 23.1% | 36.0% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Sal Stewart | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.217 | 90.5 | 11.5% | 21.6% | 393 | 9.5% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Will Benson ⚡ | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.144 | 91.6 | 10.3% | 7.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Steer | 52 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 87 | 0.171 | 90.1 | 10.8% | 11.8% | 392 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.118 | 86.5 | 8.4% | 16.7% | 397 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Blake Dunn | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.125 | 88.5 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 32 |
| 9 | P.J. Higgins | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.125 | 80.6 | · | 25.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 6 |