⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
ATL
@ 1:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.196
Temp
77.0°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo LHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 87 🟢 A · · 1 0.294 93.5 16.1% 19.2% 413 25.0% 15.4% 23.4% 41
2 Michael Harris II 80 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 7 0.215 93.4 16.2% 33.3% 401 20.4% 30.8% 40.3% 45
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 75 🟡 B · 🔥 HOT 13 0.148 90.0 15.3% 0.0% 407 13.2% 25.0% 18.2% 28
4 Austin Riley Austin Riley 70 🟡 B · · 23 0.185 91.0 13.0% 23.1% 409 10.9% 16.7% 32.7% 23
5 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 66 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.136 90.3 13.6% 14.3% 390 12.5% 20.0% 15.2% 17
6 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 88 0.157 86.4 8.0% 12.0% 389 14.3% 7.7% 14.3% 47
7 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 154 0.118 86.8 8.8% 0.0% 389 2.6% 0.0% 9.6% 38
8 Ha-Seong Kim Ha-Seong Kim 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 172 0.000 86.5 7.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 16
9 Chadwick Tromp Chadwick Tromp 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 255 · 86.5 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 17
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 86 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 2 0.285 90.2 11.4% 40.0% 398 25.0% 30.0% 47.6% 24
2 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 82 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 5 0.314 91.0 11.2% 31.6% 387 20.8% 30.0% 44.3% 34
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 73 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 14 0.235 94.2 11.2% 20.0% 394 16.4% 23.1% 36.0% 25
4 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 66 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 37 0.217 90.5 11.5% 21.6% 393 9.5% 15.4% 22.4% 31
5 Will Benson Will Benson 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.144 91.6 10.3% 7.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.2% 5
6 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 87 0.171 90.1 10.8% 11.8% 392 9.3% 0.0% 11.9% 31
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 108 0.118 86.5 8.4% 16.7% 397 3.1% 0.0% 9.8% 14
8 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.125 88.5 6.3% 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 32
9 P.J. Higgins 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 197 0.125 80.6 · 25.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.5% 6
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