⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
ATL
@ 7:15p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.276
Temp
77.1°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Olson Matt Olson 81 🟢 A +700 🌧️ COOL 5 0.300 93.3 13.7% 35.3% 414 23.6% 7.7% 30.1% 42
2 Michael Harris II 78 🟡 B +750 🌧️ COOL 8 0.221 93.4 14.0% 28.1% 401 20.8% 30.8% 42.9% 46
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.132 89.9 12.5% 13.6% 417 10.8% 18.2% 18.3% 25
4 Mike Yastrzemski Mike Yastrzemski 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.163 90.4 7.5% 17.2% 374 9.4% 28.6% 28.0% 17
5 Sandy León Sandy León 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 53 0.234 82.2 10.2% 28.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 27.0% 11
6 Jorge Mateo Jorge Mateo 59 🟠 C +900 🌤️ WARM 57 0.143 89.4 11.0% 12.5% 380 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 14
7 Dominic Smith Dominic Smith 58 🟠 C +1000 🌧️ COOL 59 0.175 89.4 10.3% 16.1% 397 9.1% 12.5% 17.5% 27
8 Ozzie Albies Ozzie Albies 54 🟠 C +950 · 85 0.161 86.5 7.0% 16.2% 389 14.5% 7.7% 16.2% 47
9 Mauricio Dubón Mauricio Dubón 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 178 0.118 86.8 7.6% 10.3% 389 2.6% 0.0% 10.7% 39
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 71 🟡 B +500 🌧️ COOL 16 0.293 90.6 10.3% 14.3% 390 17.4% 20.0% 21.6% 33
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 68 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.239 94.1 10.6% 35.3% 394 16.7% 23.1% 40.6% 24
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 49 0.213 90.7 10.9% 33.3% 393 9.8% 15.4% 29.5% 29
4 Dane Myers Dane Myers 52 🟠 C · · 98 0.132 90.2 9.1% 14.3% 378 9.1% 25.0% 15.3% 14
5 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 48 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 115 0.175 89.9 10.2% 22.2% 392 9.4% 0.0% 15.5% 32
6 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 140 0.123 86.4 8.0% 16.7% 397 3.2% 0.0% 10.9% 12
7 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 147 0.146 90.4 9.4% 9.1% 383 6.4% 10.0% 10.9% 20
8 Matt McLain Matt McLain 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 165 0.135 87.7 7.4% 25.0% 398 8.0% 0.0% 12.3% 23
9 Blake Dunn Blake Dunn 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.138 88.8 6.1% 0.0% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 32
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