ATH
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.77×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.922
Temp
76.5°F
Wind
12.7 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nick Kurtz | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.207 | 98.7 | 23.5% | 26.3% | 404 | 19.0% | 36.4% | 25.3% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Cortes | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.286 | 91.1 | 15.4% | 36.4% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 31.0% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Shea Langeliers | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 47 | 0.275 | 92.5 | 12.3% | 29.6% | 411 | 28.6% | 18.2% | 28.9% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Max Muncy | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 54 | 0.167 | 92.2 | 17.7% | 13.3% | 412 | 23.1% | 31.6% | 14.1% | 58 |
| 5 |
|
Tyler Soderstrom | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.200 | 90.2 | 12.7% | 11.5% | 407 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Zack Gelof | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.198 | 94.4 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.5% | 14 |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Wilson | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 191 | 0.101 | 85.1 | 2.1% | 10.5% | 377 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 48 |
| 8 |
|
Jeff McNeil | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 194 | 0.101 | 87.6 | 1.4% | 14.3% | 395 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Lawrence Butler ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.097 | 89.8 | 5.3% | 18.2% | 365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 30 |
Luis Severino
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 60 | 0.242 | 90.4 | 15.2% | 31.6% | 402 | 26.3% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 81 | 0.199 | 90.8 | 12.3% | 20.0% | 396 | 15.0% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Josh Jung | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.217 | 91.0 | 2.9% | 21.4% | 373 | 15.0% | 33.3% | 17.0% | 42 |
| 4 |
|
Evan Carter | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.167 | 90.2 | 10.2% | 15.0% | 381 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Burger | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 140 | 0.182 | 88.5 | 9.5% | 29.4% | 404 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 17.4% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Higashioka | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 145 | 0.108 | 92.0 | 15.4% | 12.5% | 388 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Joc Pederson | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 236 | 0.069 | 93.2 | 0.0% | 7.1% | 361 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Josh Smith | 19 | ⚪ D | · | · | 237 | 0.027 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 243 | · | 85.5 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 4 |