2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COL RHB
Hunter Goodman

Hunter Goodman

RHB
COL · 67 appearances tracked
17
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
25.4%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
30.1%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.1
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.264
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#1
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.285
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
97th pctile
91.3
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
82th pctile
8.8%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
54th pctile
40.0% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
99th pctile
403
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
77th pctile
25.4%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
33.3%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
25.1%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
96th pctile
30
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 17 HRs in 67 games
Due (1×)
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
67
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
60
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
15
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
88%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#21.6
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
15 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-03-31 #23 Max Scherzer Rogers Centre · · · 110.9 mph 435.0 ft
2026-04-16 #39 Ryan Weiss Minute Maid Park · · · 105.5 mph 397.0 ft
2026-04-22 #19 Walker Buehler Coors Field · · · 105.7 mph 427.0 ft
2026-04-26 #38 Kodai Senga Citi Field · · · 104.9 mph 390.0 ft
2026-04-29 #5 Brandon Williamson Great American Ball Park · · · 108.9 mph 415.0 ft
2026-05-08 #22 Jesús Luzardo Citizens Bank Park · · · 101.8 mph 389.0 ft
2026-05-15 #17 Merrill Kelly Coors Field · · · 111.4 mph 387.0 ft
2026-05-26 #15 Eric Lauer Dodger Stadium · · · 105.1 mph 406.0 ft
2026-06-01 #18 José Soriano Angel Stadium · · · 112.9 mph 384 ft
2026-06-02 #21 Grayson Rodriguez Angel Stadium · · · 111.0 mph 389 ft
2026-06-05 #7 Brandon Sproat Coors Field · · · 106.4 mph 411 ft
2026-06-07 #3 Shane Drohan Coors Field · · · 99.9 mph 424 ft
2026-06-09 #2 Colin Rea Coors Field R/R 🔥 106.0 mph 413 ft
2026-06-14 #2 Luis Medina Las Vegas Ballpark R/L ⚠️ 106.4 mph 421 ft
2026-06-17 #23 Ethan Roberts Wrigley Field R/R 🔥 107.7 mph 417 ft
All Appearances
67 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-22 #6 Jake Bennett R/L * 32.8% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-20 #8 Paul Skenes R/R * 41.1% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 #2 Bubba Chandler R/R * 33.2% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-06-17 #23 Javier Assad R/R * 25.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-06-16 #1 Edward Cabrera R/R * 43.4% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-06-15 #1 Shota Imanaga R/L * 34.8% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT 🔥 ·
2026-06-14 #2 Jeffrey Springs R/L * 41.8% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-13 #1 ATH Bullpen Proxy R/ 37.0% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-12 #10 Gage Jump R/L * 27.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-06-11 #1 Edward Cabrera R/R * 48.9% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-06-10 #1 Shota Imanaga R/L * 39.6% 🟢 A 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-06-09 #2 Colin Rea R/R * 37.1% 🟢 A 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-06-07 #3 Shane Drohan · 33.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-06-06 #21 Jacob Misiorowski · 29.5% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #7 Brandon Sproat · 37.7% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-03 #18 Walbert Ureña · 34.8% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-06-02 #21 Grayson Rodriguez · 23.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-06-01 #18 José Soriano · 25.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-31 #18 Robbie Ray · 33.7% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-30 #14 Adrian Houser · 34.0% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-29 #54 Logan Webb · 24.9% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-27 #65 Shohei Ohtani · 25.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-26 #15 Eric Lauer · 21.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-25 #19 Emmet Sheehan · 18.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-22 #68 Michael Soroka · 21.8% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-21 #22 Eduardo Rodriguez · 22.4% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-19 #21 Tyler Alexander · 29.0% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-18 #20 MacKenzie Gore · 33.6% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-17 #30 Michael Soroka · 29.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-16 #18 Eduardo Rodriguez · 31.4% 🟢 A 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-15 #17 Merrill Kelly · 20.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-05-14 #45 Mason Montgomery · 16.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-05-13 #46 Mitch Keller · 16.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-12 #42 Paul Skenes · 25.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-10 #11 Cristopher Sánchez · 37.0% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-09 #8 Aaron Nola · 42.9% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-08 #22 Jesús Luzardo · 33.5% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-05-06 #7 Freddy Peralta · 23.2% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-05 #25 Freddy Peralta · 24.6% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-03 #1 Spencer Strider · 29.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-02 #5 Chris Sale · 40.1% 🔥 A+ ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-05-01 #4 Grant Holmes · 38.3% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL · · ·
2026-04-30 #1 Andrew Abbott · 42.7% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-29 #5 Brandon Williamson · 42.0% 🔥 A+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-28 #3 Chase Burns · 33.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-26 #38 Kodai Senga · 29.0% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-04-25 #68 Kodai Senga · 31.0% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-24 #92 Freddy Peralta · 27.6% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-22 #19 Walker Buehler · 29.2% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · 💥
2026-04-21 #13 Randy Vásquez · 28.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-20 #14 Justin Wrobleski · 24.8% 🔵 C+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-19 #24 Roki Sasaki · 36.6% 🟢 A 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-18 #26 Emmet Sheehan · 41.7% 🔥 A+ 🔥 HOT · · ·
2026-04-17 #32 Tyler Glasnow · 34.8% 🟢 A 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-16 #39 Ryan Weiss · 29.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL · · 💥
2026-04-11 #18 Germán Márquez · 24.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-09 #17 Randy Vásquez · 18.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-08 #71 Cristian Javier · 12.9% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · 💥
2026-04-07 #26 Mike Burrows · 20.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-06 #25 Cody Bolton · 19.7% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
2026-04-05 #15 Taijuan Walker · 18.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-04 #37 Jesús Luzardo · 15.1% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-04-01 #39 Kevin Gausman · 14.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-31 #23 Max Scherzer · 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-03-29 #3 Max Meyer · 20.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-03-28 #55 Eury Pérez · 14.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD · · ·
2026-03-27 #4 Sandy Alcantara · 18.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL · · ·
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