2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 3 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 4 Zach Neto 5 HRs · 5 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 6 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 7 Zack Gelof 5 HRs · 8 Nick Kurtz 5 HRs · 9 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 5 HRs · 11 Bryan Reynolds 4 HRs · 12 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs
Bryce Eldridge

Bryce Eldridge

LHB
SF · 19 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
21.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
13.9%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
92.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.175
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#17
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
0.230
ISO ?Isolated Power (SLG − AVG). >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.
89th pctile
91.3
Avg EV (mph) ?Average exit velocity (mph) on all batted balls. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg.
82th pctile
13.4%
Barrel% ?Percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA combo). >12% elite.
96th pctile
21.7% vs RHP
HR/FB ?Home runs per fly ball for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall.
88th pctile
389
Avg HR Dist (ft) ?Average distance of this batter's HRs in feet. >400 elite raw power.
35th pctile
22.2%
Season HR% ?HRs ÷ plate appearances this season. v3.5 model feature — strongest single backtest contributor.
37.5%
14d Pace ?HRs per game over last 14 days. v3.5 model feature — captures current hot/cold streak.
24.2%
Match% ?Combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate — the headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.
96th pctile
34
BBE ?Batted-ball events — sample size. Treat stats with caution below 30.
Loading matchup data...
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 3 games · 4 HRs in 19 games
Due (1×)
1.0×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
3
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
19
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
10
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
1
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
25%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#83.5
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
1 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-06-17 #34 JR Ritchie Truist Park L/R ⚠️ 100.9 mph 406 ft
All Appearances
19 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-21 #17 Ryan Gusto L/R * 24.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-20 #35 Max Meyer L/R * 22.2% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-19 #38 Lake Bachar L/R * 24.5% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-17 #34 Grant Holmes L/R * 25.6% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-16 #22 Grant Holmes L/R * 27.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-06-14 #47 Ryan Rolison L/L * 23.7% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-06-10 #81 Foster Griffin L/L * 8.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-09 #149 Andrew Alvarez L/L 8.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-06-07 #30 Jameson Taillon · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-06 #71 Ben Brown · 8.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-05 #34 Edward Cabrera · 12.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-04 #22 Coleman Crow · 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-03 #34 Robert Gasser · 10.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-06-01 #61 Shane Drohan · 5.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-31 #114 Tanner Gordon · 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · 💥
2026-05-27 #204 Michael Soroka · 7.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-25 #109 Merrill Kelly · 8.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-23 #250 Bryan Hudson · 6.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
2026-05-20 #235 Merrill Kelly · 11.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM · · ·
Six home runs to freedom

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