2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 6 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Bo Bichette 5 HRs · 5 Max Muncy 5 HRs · 6 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 7 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 8 Paul Goldschmidt 5 HRs · 9 Wyatt Langford 5 HRs · 10 Dansby Swanson 4 HRs · 11 Kyle Schwarber 4 HRs · 12 Kazuma Okamoto 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
9 games on 2026-06-25
Citi Field
CHC @ NYM
Citi Field · warm air · light wind in · roof open
1.186
Combined
Park Factor 1.078
Weather Mod +1
Temp 80.0°F
Wind 6.0 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#9 Juan Soto 24.0%
Rogers Centre
TEX @ TOR
Rogers Centre · neutral
1.157
Combined
Park Factor 1.157
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#27 Jake Burger 24.1%
Nationals Park
PHI @ WSH
Nationals Park · warm air · light wind in · roof open
1.100
Combined
Park Factor 1.000
Weather Mod +1
Temp 80.9°F
Wind 4 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#11 Bryce Harper 24.4%
Comerica Park
HOU @ DET
Comerica Park · mild air · steady partial wind out · roof open
1.082
Combined
Park Factor 0.984
Weather Mod +1
Temp 71.5°F
Wind 8.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#14 Christian Walker 28.0%
Fenway Park
NYY @ BOS
Fenway Park · warm air · light crosswind · roof open
1.045
Combined
Park Factor 0.950
Weather Mod +1
Temp 78.0°F
Wind 4 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#56 Jarren Duran 11.5%
Tropicana Field
KC @ TB
Tropicana Field · neutral
0.931
Combined
Park Factor 0.931
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#21 Jac Caglianone 17.5%
Busch Stadium
AZ @ STL
Busch Stadium · warm air · light wind in · roof open
0.914
Combined
Park Factor 0.831
Weather Mod +1
Temp 80.6°F
Wind 2.0 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#25 Corbin Carroll 16.3%
Oracle Park
ATH @ SF
Oracle Park · cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
0.833
Combined
Park Factor 0.833
Weather Mod 0
Temp 57.4°F
Wind 11.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#29 Max Muncy 16.1%
PNC Park
SEA @ PIT
PNC Park · warm air · light partial wind out · roof open
0.753
Combined
Park Factor 0.753
Weather Mod 0
Temp 77.1°F
Wind 6.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#48 Julio Rodríguez 7.0%
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

6 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.3.16 · build 516

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.