2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs 1 Byron Buxton 7 HRs · 2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 6 HRs · 3 Shohei Ohtani 6 HRs · 4 Alec Burleson 5 HRs · 5 Jac Caglianone 5 HRs · 6 TJ Rumfield 5 HRs · 7 Pete Alonso 5 HRs · 8 Owen Caissie 4 HRs · 9 Zach Neto 4 HRs · 10 Dominic Canzone 4 HRs · 11 Paul Goldschmidt 4 HRs · 12 Max Muncy 4 HRs
Park + Weather Stacking
Today's games ranked by HR-friendliness — park factor combined with live weather.
15 games on 2026-06-24
Rogers Centre
HOU @ TOR
Rogers Centre · neutral
1.162
Combined
Park Factor 1.162
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#34 Brandon Valenzuela 18.7%
Coors Field
BOS @ COL
Coors Field · cool air · light crosswind · roof open
1.121
Combined
Park Factor 1.121
Weather Mod 0
Temp 64.8°F
Wind 3 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#5 Willson Contreras 35.8%
Citi Field
CHC @ NYM
Citi Field · cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
1.037
Combined
Park Factor 0.943
Weather Mod +1
Temp 64.8°F
Wind 8.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#33 Ian Happ 19.0%
Angel Stadium
BAL @ LAA
Angel Stadium · cool air · light wind in · roof open
0.987
Combined
Park Factor 0.987
Weather Mod 0
Temp 63.1°F
Wind 4.6 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#20 Jorge Soler 23.3%
Great American Ball Park
MIL @ CIN
Great American Ball Park · cool air · light crosswind · roof open
0.981
Combined
Park Factor 1.090
Weather Mod -1
Temp 57.7°F
Wind 3 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#35 Spencer Steer 26.2%
Tropicana Field
KC @ TB
Tropicana Field · neutral
0.955
Combined
Park Factor 0.955
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#110 Lane Thomas 14.6%
Target Field
LAD @ MIN
Target Field · cool air · light wind in · roof open
0.947
Combined
Park Factor 1.052
Weather Mod -1
Temp 59.4°F
Wind 3 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#3 Shohei Ohtani 32.2%
loanDepot Park
TEX @ MIA
loanDepot Park · neutral
0.943
Combined
Park Factor 0.943
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind 0 mph dome
Top Picks in This Game
#53 Owen Caissie 22.4%
Rate Field
CLE @ CWS
Rate Field · Unknown stadium
0.929
Combined
Park Factor 0.929
Weather Mod 0
Temp
Wind
Top Picks in This Game
#49 Andrew Benintendi 21.6%
Petco Park
ATL @ SD
Petco Park · cool air · light wind in · roof open
0.907
Combined
Park Factor 0.907
Weather Mod 0
Temp 64.8°F
Wind 4 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#78 Manny Machado 19.8%
Nationals Park
PHI @ WSH
Nationals Park · cool air · light wind in · roof open
0.882
Combined
Park Factor 0.980
Weather Mod -1
Temp 61.3°F
Wind 2.0 mph in
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#45 Cj Abrams 32.0%
Oracle Park
ATH @ SF
Oracle Park · cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
0.858
Combined
Park Factor 0.858
Weather Mod 0
Temp 55.1°F
Wind 11.0 mph slight_out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#16 Nick Kurtz 29.3%
Busch Stadium
AZ @ STL
Busch Stadium · cool air · light crosswind · roof open
0.831
Combined
Park Factor 0.831
Weather Mod 0
Temp 64.5°F
Wind 5.5 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#28 Corbin Carroll 16.4%
Comerica Park
NYY @ DET
Comerica Park · cold air · light crosswind · roof open
0.818
Combined
Park Factor 1.023
Weather Mod -2
Temp 54.4°F
Wind 1.9 mph cross
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#32 Spencer Torkelson 21.4%
PNC Park
SEA @ PIT
PNC Park · cold air · light wind out · roof open
0.637
Combined
Park Factor 0.796
Weather Mod -2
Temp 53.0°F
Wind 1.5 mph out
Roof open
Top Picks in This Game
#98 Bryan Reynolds 15.5%
🏟️
Six home runs to freedom

See every ballpark advantage today

Sign up to see all park + weather stacking data — find where the wind is blowing out and the fences are short.

12 more waiting in the on-deck circle
How to read this: Combined score = park factor × (1 + weather_modifier/10). Games at the top are in the most HR-friendly environments. Great for same-game parlays — stack multiple batters from the same high-scoring game. Park factor comes from 2025–26 Statcast data; weather modifier incorporates temperature, wind speed, and wind direction relative to home plate.
LD 3.3.16 · build 505

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.