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Study Day
📅 2026-05-28
0
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
10
HRs in Slate
91%
Coverage
108
Scored
What Happened
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
7 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
6 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
9 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
9 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Simeon Woods Richardson: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 1, 'score': 84.0}, {'batter': 'Randal Grichuk', 'rank': 3, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 4, 'score': 77.0}, {'batter': 'Colson Montgomery', 'rank': 6, 'score': 72.0}
Nathan Eovaldi: {'batter': 'Yordan Álvarez', 'rank': 5, 'score': 76.0}, {'batter': 'Christian Walker', 'rank': 9, 'score': 65.0}
Patrick Corbin: {'batter': 'Gunnar Henderson', 'rank': 7, 'score': 70.0}, {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 10, 'score': 65.0}, {'batter': 'Adley Rutschman', 'rank': 13, 'score': 63.0}, {'batter': 'Coby Mayo', 'rank': 14, 'score': 60.0}
Jack Flaherty: {'batter': 'Mike Trout', 'rank': 12, 'score': 63.0}, {'batter': 'Zach Neto', 'rank': 15, 'score': 59.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Munetaka Murakami | Simeon Woods Richardson | 38.2% | 84 | 6.0 | 1.13 | 🌧️ | 13.0% | |
| 2 | — | Byron Buxton | Davis Martin | 33.8% | 80 | 2.4 | 1.13 | 🌤️ | 12.1% | |
| 3 | — | Randal Grichuk | Simeon Woods Richardson | 36.2% | 77 | 6.0 | 1.13 | ❄ | 11.6% | |
| 4 | — | Miguel Vargas | Simeon Woods Richardson | 27.0% | 77 | 6.0 | 1.13 | 🌤️ | 11.0% | |
| 5 | — | Yordan Álvarez | Nathan Eovaldi | 28.1% | 76 | 4.4 | 0.86 | 🌤️ | 11.9% | |
| 6 | — | Colson Montgomery | Simeon Woods Richardson | 26.5% | 72 | 6.0 | 1.13 | · | 10.5% | |
| 7 | — | Gunnar Henderson | Patrick Corbin | 32.3% | 70 | 4.1 | 1.15 | 🌤️ | 9.1% | |
| 8 | — | Brandon Lowe | Colin Rea | 23.0% | 68 | 4.4 | 0.81 | 🌤️ | 12.6% | |
| 9 | — | Christian Walker | Nathan Eovaldi | 29.5% | 65 | 4.4 | 0.86 | · | 9.7% | |
| 10 | — | Pete Alonso | Patrick Corbin | 13.1% | 65 | 4.1 | 1.15 | 🌤️ | 10.3% | |
| 11 | — | Dillon Dingler | Grayson Rodriguez | 25.9% | 64 | 4.5 | 0.92 | 🌧️ | 13.1% | |
| 12 | — | Mike Trout | Jack Flaherty | 21.1% | 63 | 5.3 | 0.92 | 🌧️ | 14.6% | |
| 13 | — | Adley Rutschman | Patrick Corbin | 16.0% | 63 | 4.1 | 1.15 | 🌤️ | 8.8% | |
| 14 | ✅ | Coby Mayo | Patrick Corbin | 13.5% | 60 | 4.1 | 1.15 | 🔥 | 8.1% | 110.3 mph · 400ft · 25.0° |
| 15 | — | Zach Neto | Jack Flaherty | 22.4% | 59 | 5.3 | 0.92 | 🌤️ | 11.4% |
All 10 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Coby Mayo | 13.5% | 110.3 | 400ft | 25.0° |
| 19 | Michael Harris II | 26.9% | 104.1 | 396ft | 36.0° |
| 34 | Ian Happ | 19.3% | 103.7 | 403ft | 25.0° |
| 71 | Bryan Reynolds | 6.1% | 106.6 | 400ft | 27.0° |
| 77 | Andrés Giménez | 9.4% | 102.0 | 412ft | 29.0° |
| 79 | Ronald Acuña Jr. | 4.8% | 107.9 | 417ft | 27.0° |
| 80 | Wenceel Pérez | 7.8% | 98.3 | 363ft | 40.0° |
| 87 | Isaac Paredes | 8.5% | 101.8 | 357ft | 25.0° |
| 88 | Ozzie Albies | 6.7% | 104.4 | 416ft | 25.0° |
| 94 | Josh Jung | 6.9% | 103.6 | 424ft | 29.0° |