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Study Day
📅 2026-05-07
0
Top-5 Hits
1
Top-15 Hits
17
HRs in Slate
81%
Coverage
180
Scored
What Happened
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
3 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
HR-Friendly Parks
15 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
9 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
MacKenzie Gore: {'batter': 'Aaron Judge', 'rank': 1, 'score': 64.0}, {'batter': 'Amed Rosario', 'rank': 3, 'score': 56.0}, {'batter': 'Jazz Chisholm Jr.', 'rank': 4, 'score': 55.0}, {'batter': 'Max Schuemann', 'rank': 5, 'score': 54.0}, {'batter': 'Cody Bellinger', 'rank': 9, 'score': 50.0}, {'batter': 'Trent Grisham', 'rank': 10, 'score': 50.0}
Paul Blackburn: {'batter': 'Josh Jung', 'rank': 2, 'score': 56.0}, {'batter': 'Corey Seager', 'rank': 11, 'score': 48.0}, {'batter': 'Joc Pederson', 'rank': 13, 'score': 47.0}
Jose Quintana: {'batter': 'Juan Soto', 'rank': 6, 'score': 54.0}, {'batter': 'Francisco Alvarez', 'rank': 12, 'score': 48.0}
Shota Imanaga: {'batter': 'Nathaniel Lowe', 'rank': 8, 'score': 52.0}, {'batter': 'Elly De La Cruz', 'rank': 14, 'score': 47.0}, {'batter': 'Sal Stewart', 'rank': 15, 'score': 46.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Aaron Judge | MacKenzie Gore | 63.4% | 64 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 2 | — | Josh Jung | Paul Blackburn | 14.9% | 56 | 2.7 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 3 | — | Amed Rosario | MacKenzie Gore | 26.4% | 56 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌧️ | nan% | |
| 4 | — | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MacKenzie Gore | 16.9% | 55 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🔥 | nan% | |
| 5 | — | Max Schuemann | MacKenzie Gore | 28.6% | 54 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 6 | — | Juan Soto | Jose Quintana | 35.8% | 54 | 6.8 | 1.10 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 7 | — | Mickey Moniak | Christian Scott | 34.5% | 53 | 6.7 | 1.10 | · | nan% | |
| 8 | — | Nathaniel Lowe | Shota Imanaga | 33.0% | 52 | 2.8 | 1.09 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 9 | — | Cody Bellinger | MacKenzie Gore | 12.5% | 50 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 10 | — | Trent Grisham | MacKenzie Gore | 13.9% | 50 | 4.1 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 11 | — | Corey Seager | Paul Blackburn | 19.4% | 48 | 2.7 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 12 | — | Francisco Alvarez | Jose Quintana | 11.2% | 48 | 6.8 | 1.10 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 13 | — | Joc Pederson | Paul Blackburn | 7.8% | 47 | 2.7 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 14 | — | Elly De La Cruz | Shota Imanaga | 27.2% | 47 | 2.8 | 1.09 | 🌧️ | nan% | |
| 15 | ✅ | Sal Stewart | Shota Imanaga | 17.0% | 46 | 2.8 | 1.09 | 🌧️ | nan% | 105.8 mph · 393ft · 35.0° |
All 17 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sal Stewart | 17.0% | 105.8 | 393ft | 35.0° |
| 16 | Kyle Schwarber | 42.5% | 108.8 | 377ft | 21.0° |
| 31 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 14.8% | 104.9 | 407ft | 31.0° |
| 34 | Liam Hicks | 39.8% | 96.3 | 386ft | 28.0° |
| 35 | Ezequiel Duran | 8.2% | 97.6 | 374ft | 32.0° |
| 39 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 10.8% | 102.2 | 414ft | 27.0° |
| 42 | Shea Langeliers | 23.4% | 108.4 | 412ft | 32.0° |
| 80 | Jake McCarthy | 8.7% | 107.4 | 448ft | 33.0° |
| 88 | Keibert Ruiz | 6.3% | 97.8 | 353ft | 31.0° |
| 92 | Ryan Jeffers | 16.3% | 107.6 | 432ft | 27.0° |
| 112 | Brandon Lowe | 17.2% | 111.1 | 436ft | 37.0° |
| 116 | Bo Naylor | 5.7% | 101.5 | 393ft | 36.0° |
| 118 | Junior Caminero | 24.5% | 114.3 | 449ft | 19.0° |
| 122 | Corbin Carroll | 11.4% | 104.0 | 406ft | 27.0° |
| 128 | Brent Rooker | 9.0% | 100.2 | 384ft | 33.0° |
| 133 | Alec Burleson | 10.1% | 111.2 | 378ft | 22.0° |
| 155 | Jacob Wilson | 7.5% | 99.5 | 350ft | 25.0° |