← Case Studies
Study Day
📅 2026-05-02
0
Top-5 Hits
2
Top-15 Hits
14
HRs in Slate
58%
Coverage
261
Scored
Why It Worked
HR-Friendly Parks
14 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
9 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Kyle Bradish: {'batter': 'Aaron Judge', 'rank': 1, 'score': 62.0}, {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 2, 'score': 60.0}, {'batter': 'Giancarlo Stanton', 'rank': 8, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Jazz Chisholm Jr.', 'rank': 11, 'score': 51.0}
Ryan Weathers: {'batter': 'Coby Mayo', 'rank': 3, 'score': 57.0}, {'batter': 'Pete Alonso', 'rank': 6, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Samuel Basallo', 'rank': 7, 'score': 53.0}, {'batter': 'Gunnar Henderson', 'rank': 9, 'score': 52.0}, {'batter': 'Dylan Beavers', 'rank': 13, 'score': 49.0}, {'batter': 'Taylor Ward', 'rank': 14, 'score': 48.0}
Slade Cecconi: {'batter': 'Carlos Cortes', 'rank': 4, 'score': 56.0}, {'batter': 'Shea Langeliers', 'rank': 12, 'score': 51.0}
Chris Sale: {'batter': 'Hunter Goodman', 'rank': 5, 'score': 54.0}, {'batter': 'Mickey Moniak', 'rank': 10, 'score': 52.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Aaron Judge | Kyle Bradish | 50.6% | 62 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 2 | — | Ben Rice | Kyle Bradish | 36.9% | 60 | 4.1 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 3 | — | Coby Mayo | Ryan Weathers | 29.8% | 57 | 3.4 | 1.25 | 🔥 | nan% | |
| 4 | — | Carlos Cortes | Slade Cecconi | 35.9% | 56 | 5.6 | 1.07 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 5 | — | Hunter Goodman | Chris Sale | 40.1% | 54 | 3.9 | 1.09 | · | nan% | |
| 6 | ✅ | Pete Alonso | Ryan Weathers | 17.1% | 53 | 3.4 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | 114.6 mph · 413ft · 23.0° |
| 7 | — | Samuel Basallo | Ryan Weathers | 39.5% | 53 | 3.4 | 1.25 | · | nan% | |
| 8 | — | Giancarlo Stanton | Kyle Bradish | 19.3% | 53 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 9 | — | Gunnar Henderson | Ryan Weathers | 60.4% | 52 | 3.4 | 1.25 | 🌧️ | nan% | |
| 10 | — | Mickey Moniak | Chris Sale | 38.7% | 52 | 3.9 | 1.09 | · | nan% | |
| 11 | — | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Kyle Bradish | 14.2% | 51 | 4.1 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 12 | ✅ | Shea Langeliers | Slade Cecconi | 20.5% | 51 | 5.6 | 1.07 | · | nan% | 107.8 mph · 433ft · 25.0° |
| 13 | — | Dylan Beavers | Ryan Weathers | 11.2% | 49 | 3.4 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 14 | — | Taylor Ward | Ryan Weathers | 12.5% | 48 | 3.4 | 1.25 | 🌤️ | nan% | |
| 15 | — | James Wood | Kyle Harrison | 35.3% | 48 | 3.1 | 1.04 | 🌤️ | nan% |
All 14 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pete Alonso | 17.1% | 114.6 | 413ft | 23.0° |
| 12 | Shea Langeliers | 20.5% | 107.8 | 433ft | 25.0° |
| 18 | Cody Bellinger | 9.1% | 93.5 | 354ft | 30.0° |
| 19 | Trent Grisham | 15.8% | 105.6 | 412ft | 32.0° |
| 21 | Jordan Walker | 28.5% | 110.0 | 372ft | 17.0° |
| 55 | Ian Happ | 25.8% | 110.6 | 399ft | 26.0° |
| 109 | Kazuma Okamoto | 15.6% | 111.7 | 453ft | 33.0° |
| 134 | Byron Buxton | 24.5% | 99.6 | 363ft | 30.0° |
| 139 | Christian Walker | 20.5% | 108.3 | 388ft | 21.0° |
| 151 | Kyle Manzardo | 8.7% | 99.3 | 389ft | 30.0° |
| 177 | Dillon Dingler | 14.8% | 107.8 | 443ft | 30.0° |
| 211 | Brice Matthews | 10.6% | 104.9 | 406ft | 30.0° |
| 223 | Xavier Edwards | 5.5% | 100.6 | 392ft | 27.0° |
| 256 | Jake Burger | 6.4% | 102.2 | 373ft | 26.0° |