⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
TOR
@ 8:10p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.742
Temp
58.0°F
Wind
4.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.277 91.9 12.2% 15.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 26
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 83 0.260 86.4 8.6% 33.3% 405 20.0% 20.0% 15.9% 34
3 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.184 92.4 9.6% 30.8% 411 0.0% 0.0% 21.4% 33
4 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 115 0.151 86.0 9.4% 33.3% 409 0.0% 0.0% 16.5% 26
5 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 118 0.149 83.8 4.5% 21.4% 399 13.3% 18.2% 15.9% 35
6 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 142 0.125 87.4 9.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 11
7 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.188 84.9 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 28
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.091 86.7 1.8% 7.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 36
9 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 237 0.092 92.2 5.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 21
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Davis Schneider Davis Schneider 53 🟠 C · · 82 0.161 93.9 26.7% 14.3% 366 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 14
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.200 85.1 6.1% 21.4% 388 16.7% 25.0% 17.5% 36
3 George Springer George Springer 44 ⚪ D · · 128 0.185 88.9 10.0% 16.7% 389 12.5% 0.0% 9.1% 21
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 43 ⚪ D · · 134 0.101 92.7 15.4% 11.1% 437 5.6% 9.1% 6.0% 38
5 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.158 91.4 7.9% 16.7% 412 20.0% 0.0% 7.7% 31
6 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.203 86.8 6.0% 18.8% 386 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 38
7 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 29 ⚪ D · · 208 0.102 88.6 8.3% 25.0% 410 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 0
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 17 ⚪ D · · 250 0.079 86.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 43
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 12 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 264 0.000 85.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 19
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