LongDong™ — TEX @ HOU

TEX

@ 2:10p

HOU

Minute Maid Park · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

1.08×

Weather Mod

+3.0%

hot air · strong partial wind out · retractable roof

Combined

1.407

Temp

84.7°F

Wind

17.3 mph

slight_out

Roof

retractable

Nathan Eovaldi RHP 💥 Meltdown

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Yordan Alvarez	91	🔥 A+	·	🌤️ WARM	2	0.321	94.4	17.7%	23.5%	393	33.3%	16.7%	42.0%	29
2	Zach Cole	80	🟢 A	·	·	16	0.184	92.5	25.0%	15.6%	376	33.3%	33.3%	27.0%	20
3	Christian Walker	72	🟡 B	·	🌧️ COOL	26	0.245	90.9	12.8%	33.3%	394	22.7%	25.0%	47.3%	33
4	Zach Dezenzo	58	🟠 C	·	·	55	0.184	85.0	14.3%	15.6%	359	0.0%	0.0%	23.4%	14
5	Brice Matthews	52	🟠 C	·	·	81	0.177	88.6	8.2%	18.2%	398	11.1%	8.3%	15.8%	35
6	Cam Smith	49	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	92	0.121	88.4	13.6%	16.7%	406	9.5%	0.0%	11.7%	25
7	Braden Shewmake	29	⚪ D	·	·	210	·	91.1	5.3%	30.0%	376	0.0%	0.0%	22.8%	31
8	Nick Allen	25	⚪ D	·	·	227	0.049	87.6	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	8.2%	11
9	César Salazar	15	⚪ D	·	·	257	·	·	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	11.3%	8

Peter Lambert RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Ezequiel Duran	60	🔵 C+	·	🌤️ WARM	49	0.186	91.6	6.0%	20.0%	368	20.0%	33.3%	17.3%	32
2	Jake Burger	47	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	110	0.164	89.6	9.3%	25.9%	395	12.5%	16.7%	13.6%	28
3	Brandon Nimmo	46	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	112	0.144	91.8	9.8%	16.0%	396	7.5%	0.0%	7.0%	32
4	Joc Pederson	45	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	121	0.123	92.5	6.7%	13.8%	385	8.0%	8.3%	7.3%	17
5	Evan Carter	45	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	124	0.155	88.3	8.7%	13.5%	371	15.4%	16.7%	9.4%	31
6	Josh Jung	42	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	145	0.185	90.1	5.3%	17.4%	378	12.5%	8.3%	13.4%	41
7	Justin Foscue	39	⚪ D	·	·	156	0.140	92.7	7.7%	12.5%	358	0.0%	0.0%	14.5%	13
8	Kyle Higashioka	27	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	216	0.063	90.5	8.9%	8.3%	388	7.1%	0.0%	8.3%	15
9	Alejandro Osuna	17	⚪ D	·	·	249	0.027	87.4	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	5.7%	20