TEX
@
8:40p
COL
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.766
Temp
37.3°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Tyler Alexander
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 70 | 🟡 B | +450 | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.369 | 89.5 | 14.3% | 28.6% | 417 | 19.5% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 69 | 🔵 C+ | +350 | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.253 | 92.3 | 13.7% | 37.5% | 400 | 20.0% | 16.7% | 29.0% | 30 |
| 3 | TJ Rumfield | 47 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 86 | 0.172 | 86.1 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 413 | 8.8% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 32 | |
| 4 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 47 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.212 | 83.4 | 5.0% | 15.4% | 425 | 10.0% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.100 | 91.2 | 8.5% | 11.8% | 389 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 34 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.058 | 87.8 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 408 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 29 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.094 | 89.3 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 406 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 28 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.075 | 87.8 | 7.2% | 3.6% | 401 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Troy Johnston | 26 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.139 | 88.9 | 1.9% | 0.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 22 |
Sammy Peralta
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corey Seager | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 27 | 0.174 | 91.1 | 15.7% | 0.0% | 394 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.186 | 91.1 | 5.4% | 17.6% | 368 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Jake Burger | 58 | 🟠 C | +475 | · | 48 | 0.164 | 89.6 | 9.8% | 25.0% | 390 | 14.3% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Joc Pederson | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.123 | 92.5 | 6.7% | 11.5% | 385 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 50 | 🟠 C | +575 | · | 70 | 0.185 | 90.2 | 5.7% | 16.7% | 378 | 11.9% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Evan Carter | 50 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌧️ COOL | 73 | 0.155 | 87.8 | 8.4% | 14.3% | 371 | 14.3% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 49 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 75 | 0.144 | 91.3 | 9.4% | 20.0% | 396 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Danny Jansen | 33 | ⚪ D | +575 | ❄ COLD | 167 | 0.138 | 87.7 | 4.6% | 15.4% | 393 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.022 | 87.9 | 5.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 2 |