SEA
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.726
Temp
51.3°F
Wind
2.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Michael King
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.342 | 80.1 | 11.9% | 25.3% | 418 | 14.3% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodriguez | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 47 | 0.207 | 86.0 | 7.3% | 18.5% | · | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.181 | 93.4 | 16.1% | 17.7% | 431 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 73 | 0.229 | 87.3 | 7.4% | 14.9% | · | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 77 | 0.188 | 91.3 | 11.8% | 15.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 103 | 0.094 | 84.3 | 13.1% | 5.2% | 381 | 14.3% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 30 |
| 7 | J.P. Crawford | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 157 | 0.105 | 90.4 | 0.0% | 8.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 20 | |
| 8 |
|
Ben Williamson | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.058 | 87.9 | 0.0% | 1.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 24 |
Bryan Woo
RHP
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Manny Machado | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 75 | 0.185 | 85.1 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 365 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 1.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 94 | 0.177 | 87.5 | 4.4% | 0.0% | · | 8.3% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 99 | 0.193 | 88.9 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 386 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 1.2% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.178 | 92.8 | 7.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.131 | 89.2 | 3.6% | 0.0% | · | 8.3% | 10.0% | 0.6% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.128 | 90.3 | 3.2% | 0.0% | · | 8.3% | 10.0% | 0.6% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.100 | 85.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 42 |