⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
SD
@ 4:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.440
Temp
72.6°F
Wind
18.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 80 🟢 A · · 7 0.261 96.6 15.3% 34.4% 406 28.2% 25.0% 32.6% 38
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 66 🔵 C+ · · 28 0.243 89.9 10.2% 31.4% 392 15.8% 16.7% 32.3% 37
3 José Tena José Tena 54 🟠 C · · 89 0.159 92.8 9.6% 18.8% 398 11.1% 20.0% 14.2% 16
4 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 49 ⚪ D · · 114 0.175 87.9 8.6% 14.0% 405 10.5% 0.0% 11.6% 43
5 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 47 ⚪ D · · 132 0.122 91.3 7.7% 14.3% 396 16.7% 16.7% 9.2% 31
6 Luis García Jr. 45 ⚪ D · · 143 0.143 92.7 8.0% 11.5% 379 5.6% 10.0% 9.2% 33
7 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 151 0.097 82.5 4.6% 6.7% 364 3.2% 14.3% 9.2% 17
8 Drew Millas Drew Millas 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 250 0.064 81.4 5.2% 10.0% 398 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 18
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 258 0.023 84.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ty France Ty France 73 🟡 B · · 14 0.214 91.2 13.0% 0.0% 395 33.3% 50.0% 20.2% 16
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.250 89.7 10.2% 22.7% 402 12.5% 20.0% 31.7% 24
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.164 89.9 9.1% 22.2% 392 16.0% 27.3% 22.0% 30
4 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 59 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 58 0.187 88.2 12.7% 11.1% 406 7.9% 18.2% 21.7% 22
5 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.184 88.7 7.0% 16.7% 394 13.9% 20.0% 13.7% 41
6 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.120 89.2 10.7% 8.5% 409 10.2% 9.1% 8.3% 29
7 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.127 87.5 8.4% 0.0% 392 12.0% 0.0% 7.3% 32
8 Rodolfo Durán Rodolfo Durán 40 ⚪ D · · 174 · 88.6 16.0% 0.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 0
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 230 0.039 89.9 10.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 39
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