SD
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.107
Temp
77.9°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Lucas Giolito
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 89 | 🟢 A | +800 | · | 1 | 0.261 | 96.6 | 25.9% | 35.5% | 406 | 28.9% | 25.0% | 31.3% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.232 | 89.1 | 11.1% | 31.2% | 393 | 14.3% | 12.5% | 40.3% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
CJ Abrams | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 15 | 0.243 | 89.9 | 11.3% | 31.4% | 392 | 16.2% | 16.7% | 28.4% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.209 | 90.0 | 7.6% | 7.1% | 370 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Young | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 32 | 0.144 | 89.0 | 6.0% | 27.3% | 390 | 11.8% | 40.0% | 24.1% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Daylen Lile | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 63 | 0.175 | 88.1 | 8.2% | 14.8% | 405 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 43 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Crews | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 81 | 0.122 | 89.7 | 7.7% | 14.3% | 396 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 26 |
| 8 | Luis García Jr. | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.143 | 92.4 | 7.1% | 11.5% | 379 | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 32 | |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 239 | 0.023 | 84.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 29 |
Paxton Schultz
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ty France | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.214 | 90.7 | 12.2% | 38.5% | 391 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 25.3% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.250 | 89.5 | 10.0% | 34.5% | 402 | 12.8% | 20.0% | 33.5% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 62 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.164 | 90.0 | 9.0% | 30.4% | 392 | 16.3% | 27.3% | 19.6% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 51 | 0.187 | 88.7 | 12.6% | 25.9% | 406 | 8.1% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 82 | 0.184 | 88.8 | 6.9% | 18.2% | 394 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 11.4% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 39 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.127 | 87.4 | 8.2% | 23.3% | 392 | 12.2% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.120 | 89.1 | 9.8% | 12.1% | 408 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.039 | 90.0 | 10.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.042 | 85.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 13 |