⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
SD
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.107
Temp
77.9°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 89 🟢 A +800 · 1 0.261 96.6 25.9% 35.5% 406 28.9% 25.0% 31.3% 38
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 13 0.232 89.1 11.1% 31.2% 393 14.3% 12.5% 40.3% 28
3 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 71 🟡 B · · 15 0.243 89.9 11.3% 31.4% 392 16.2% 16.7% 28.4% 40
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.209 90.0 7.6% 7.1% 370 20.0% 20.0% 11.9% 23
5 Jacob Young Jacob Young 64 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 32 0.144 89.0 6.0% 27.3% 390 11.8% 40.0% 24.1% 28
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 63 0.175 88.1 8.2% 14.8% 405 10.8% 8.3% 11.2% 43
7 Dylan Crews Dylan Crews 51 🟠 C · · 81 0.122 89.7 7.7% 14.3% 396 20.0% 20.0% 11.2% 26
8 Luis García Jr. 47 ⚪ D · · 111 0.143 92.4 7.1% 11.5% 379 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 32
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 239 0.023 84.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 29
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ty France Ty France 68 🔵 C+ · · 22 0.214 90.7 12.2% 38.5% 391 20.0% 33.3% 25.3% 13
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.250 89.5 10.0% 34.5% 402 12.8% 20.0% 33.5% 24
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 62 🔵 C+ +950 🌤️ WARM 40 0.164 90.0 9.0% 30.4% 392 16.3% 27.3% 19.6% 30
4 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 59 🟠 C · · 51 0.187 88.7 12.6% 25.9% 406 8.1% 18.2% 21.3% 21
5 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 51 🟠 C · · 82 0.184 88.8 6.9% 18.2% 394 14.3% 20.0% 11.4% 41
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 39 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 155 0.127 87.4 8.2% 23.3% 392 12.2% 0.0% 8.6% 32
7 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 156 0.120 89.1 9.8% 12.1% 408 8.3% 0.0% 8.3% 26
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 226 0.039 90.0 10.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 38
9 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 245 0.042 85.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 13
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