PHI
@
4:10p
SD
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.666
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
11.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Walker Buehler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.383 | 93.4 | 13.3% | 46.9% | 402 | 29.2% | 27.3% | 34.2% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.243 | 89.4 | 9.9% | 38.5% | 411 | 22.0% | 23.1% | 31.8% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.106 | 90.0 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 388 | 12.0% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Bohm | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 112 | 0.121 | 90.1 | 4.7% | 5.3% | 371 | 8.2% | 15.4% | 7.5% | 42 |
| 5 |
|
Bryson Stott | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 118 | 0.162 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 11.8% | 390 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Edmundo Sosa | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.114 | 87.2 | 5.8% | 14.3% | 419 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Justin Crawford | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 155 | 0.118 | 87.5 | 3.5% | 10.5% | 382 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 33 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 206 | 0.058 | 89.0 | 3.8% | 11.1% | 401 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 25 | |
| 9 |
|
Adolis García | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 228 | 0.109 | 92.1 | 7.1% | 9.5% | 388 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 16 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.261 | 89.7 | 9.3% | 24.4% | 402 | 13.0% | 27.3% | 25.5% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.172 | 88.9 | 11.0% | 11.1% | 405 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.154 | 90.0 | 7.6% | 28.6% | 396 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 15.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.193 | 88.8 | 6.4% | 16.7% | 394 | 14.7% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 45 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.147 | 87.8 | 8.9% | 9.1% | 394 | 8.6% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.120 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 8.9% | 408 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 229 | 0.132 | 87.7 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 392 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 257 | 0.040 | 90.5 | 9.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 267 | 0.043 | 85.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 15 |