⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PHI
@ 9:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.638
Temp
66.9°F
Wind
13.8 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 85 🟢 A +225 🌤️ WARM 1 0.383 93.4 18.2% 48.3% 402 29.8% 30.0% 30.3% 20
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 67 🔵 C+ +425 🌤️ WARM 24 0.243 89.4 13.6% 34.6% 411 20.4% 16.7% 18.5% 35
3 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 46 ⚪ D +950 🔥 HOT 96 0.121 90.1 6.5% 5.6% 371 8.3% 16.7% 6.8% 41
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 45 ⚪ D +850 · 102 0.162 89.9 9.3% 12.1% 390 11.1% 18.2% 9.0% 37
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 38 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 157 0.151 89.9 9.2% 13.3% 392 6.4% 8.3% 7.8% 32
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 169 0.118 87.5 4.7% 11.8% 382 5.7% 11.1% 6.7% 29
7 Trea Turner Trea Turner 35 ⚪ D +750 · 181 0.106 90.0 7.9% 12.1% 388 10.2% 8.3% 7.6% 35
8 Adolis García Adolis García 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.109 92.1 9.8% 10.0% 388 2.6% 0.0% 7.4% 17
9 J. T. Realmuto J. T. Realmuto 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 247 0.058 89.0 5.2% 6.2% 401 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 66 🔵 C+ +525 🌤️ WARM 27 0.261 89.7 9.3% 34.5% 402 13.3% 27.3% 31.6% 28
2 Manny Machado Manny Machado 45 ⚪ D +525 · 106 0.154 90.0 7.7% 26.1% 396 14.9% 16.7% 13.7% 33
3 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 45 ⚪ D · · 113 0.147 87.8 8.9% 15.8% 394 8.8% 20.0% 15.9% 24
4 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 115 0.172 88.9 11.1% 23.1% 405 5.7% 8.3% 12.0% 21
5 Miguel Andújar Miguel Andújar 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.193 88.8 6.5% 19.1% 394 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 44
6 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 38 ⚪ D +625 · 158 0.120 89.7 9.2% 12.5% 408 8.7% 0.0% 7.8% 25
7 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 35 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 179 0.132 87.7 7.7% 23.3% 392 12.8% 0.0% 9.3% 34
8 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 226 0.048 87.4 6.9% 7.7% 399 2.4% 0.0% 9.3% 6
9 Fernando Tatís Fernando Tatís 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 240 0.040 90.5 9.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 39
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