PHI
@
9:40p
SD
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
mild air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.638
Temp
66.9°F
Wind
13.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 85 | 🟢 A | +225 | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.383 | 93.4 | 18.2% | 48.3% | 402 | 29.8% | 30.0% | 30.3% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 67 | 🔵 C+ | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.243 | 89.4 | 13.6% | 34.6% | 411 | 20.4% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Alec Bohm | 46 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 96 | 0.121 | 90.1 | 6.5% | 5.6% | 371 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 6.8% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 45 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 102 | 0.162 | 89.9 | 9.3% | 12.1% | 390 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 38 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.151 | 89.9 | 9.2% | 13.3% | 392 | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 169 | 0.118 | 87.5 | 4.7% | 11.8% | 382 | 5.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Trea Turner | 35 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 181 | 0.106 | 90.0 | 7.9% | 12.1% | 388 | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Adolis García | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.109 | 92.1 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 388 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
J. T. Realmuto | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 247 | 0.058 | 89.0 | 5.2% | 6.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 25 |
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.261 | 89.7 | 9.3% | 34.5% | 402 | 13.3% | 27.3% | 31.6% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Manny Machado | 45 | ⚪ D | +525 | · | 106 | 0.154 | 90.0 | 7.7% | 26.1% | 396 | 14.9% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.147 | 87.8 | 8.9% | 15.8% | 394 | 8.8% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.172 | 88.9 | 11.1% | 23.1% | 405 | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Miguel Andújar | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.193 | 88.8 | 6.5% | 19.1% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 44 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 38 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 158 | 0.120 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 12.5% | 408 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 35 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.132 | 87.7 | 7.7% | 23.3% | 392 | 12.8% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.048 | 87.4 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 399 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Fernando Tatís | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 240 | 0.040 | 90.5 | 9.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 39 |