⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PHI
@ 6:40p
SD
Petco Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.908
Temp
69.8°F
Wind
12.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 79 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.376 93.2 14.8% 48.3% 404 28.3% 22.2% 39.3% 17
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.250 89.3 10.9% 34.6% 411 20.8% 18.2% 25.6% 33
3 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 45 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 103 0.125 90.0 5.4% 5.6% 371 8.5% 18.2% 6.8% 38
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 44 ⚪ D · · 109 0.167 89.7 7.2% 12.1% 390 11.4% 20.0% 12.8% 35
5 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 150 0.122 87.4 3.9% 11.8% 382 5.9% 12.5% 8.6% 27
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 152 0.110 90.2 6.5% 12.1% 388 10.4% 9.1% 7.1% 32
7 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 194 0.129 89.8 7.1% 13.3% 398 4.3% 0.0% 8.8% 29
8 Adolis García Adolis García 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.107 92.1 8.0% 10.0% 388 2.7% 0.0% 6.8% 16
9 Rafael Marchán Rafael Marchán 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 222 0.048 85.7 4.4% 0.0% 378 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 4
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ty France Ty France 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.211 90.7 9.4% 0.0% 391 25.0% 50.0% 15.3% 12
2 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.195 88.8 5.4% 16.7% 394 15.2% 27.3% 16.5% 41
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 39 ⚪ D · · 137 0.160 90.2 6.3% 28.6% 396 15.2% 18.2% 13.7% 31
4 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 39 ⚪ D · · 139 0.153 88.0 7.5% 11.1% 394 9.1% 22.2% 13.7% 20
5 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 144 0.179 89.1 9.2% 11.1% 405 5.9% 9.1% 10.1% 19
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.137 87.8 6.4% 0.0% 392 13.0% 0.0% 5.9% 30
7 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 195 0.125 89.6 7.3% 9.3% 408 8.9% 0.0% 8.8% 24
8 Rodolfo Durán Rodolfo Durán 23 ⚪ D · · 213 · 91.8 12.2% 0.0% 386 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 0
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.036 90.8 7.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 37
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