⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PHI
@ 10:10p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.786
Temp
75.1°F
Wind
15.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Roki Sasaki
Roki Sasaki RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 88 🟢 A +210 🌧️ COOL 1 0.366 93.4 16.5% 46.9% 403 30.0% 20.0% 50.5% 20
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 83 🟢 A +350 🌤️ WARM 4 0.251 89.6 12.7% 38.5% 407 21.2% 25.0% 47.3% 27
3 Trea Turner Trea Turner 64 🔵 C+ +525 🌤️ WARM 36 0.128 90.1 8.4% 16.2% 394 13.5% 25.0% 22.3% 36
4 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 57 🟠 C +700 · 67 0.155 90.1 8.8% 11.1% 390 10.4% 16.7% 16.1% 33
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 57 🟠 C +625 🌤️ WARM 72 0.149 90.0 8.9% 16.1% 392 6.1% 9.1% 13.7% 20
6 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 57 🟠 C +700 🔥 HOT 73 0.116 90.3 5.8% 5.0% 371 7.8% 16.7% 11.5% 39
7 J. T. Realmuto J. T. Realmuto 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.079 88.5 5.7% 11.1% 393 50.0% 50.0% 12.3% 27
8 Adolis García Adolis García 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 163 0.107 92.2 8.8% 9.1% 388 2.4% 0.0% 11.9% 18
9 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 34 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 207 0.113 87.5 4.2% 10.0% 382 5.3% 0.0% 10.9% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Andy Pages Andy Pages 66 🔵 C+ +475 🌤️ WARM 26 0.234 90.1 7.2% 30.0% 388 18.5% 25.0% 34.1% 41
2 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 64 🔵 C+ +305 · 33 0.212 93.3 9.5% 20.0% 400 13.2% 25.0% 42.1% 36
3 Max Muncy Max Muncy 60 🔵 C+ +400 ❄ COLD 52 0.249 91.5 9.8% 28.6% 406 18.9% 6.7% 37.7% 17
4 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.184 89.8 7.7% 16.7% 383 9.5% 16.7% 23.4% 27
5 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 55 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 77 0.187 91.8 8.1% 16.7% 393 11.5% 25.0% 35.6% 26
6 Will Smith Will Smith 50 🟠 C +500 🌤️ WARM 110 0.122 90.1 8.7% 0.0% 399 11.8% 20.0% 13.5% 25
7 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.117 88.9 6.7% 13.0% 388 2.9% 0.0% 17.6% 5
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 36 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 196 0.144 89.1 5.3% 8.3% 397 3.8% 0.0% 14.4% 30
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.067 85.8 4.3% 5.0% 372 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 19
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