PHI
@
10:10p
LAD
Park Factor
1.37×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
warm air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.786
Temp
75.1°F
Wind
15.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 88 | 🟢 A | +210 | 🌧️ COOL | 1 | 0.366 | 93.4 | 16.5% | 46.9% | 403 | 30.0% | 20.0% | 50.5% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 83 | 🟢 A | +350 | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.251 | 89.6 | 12.7% | 38.5% | 407 | 21.2% | 25.0% | 47.3% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.128 | 90.1 | 8.4% | 16.2% | 394 | 13.5% | 25.0% | 22.3% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Bryson Stott | 57 | 🟠 C | +700 | · | 67 | 0.155 | 90.1 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 390 | 10.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 57 | 🟠 C | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.149 | 90.0 | 8.9% | 16.1% | 392 | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Alec Bohm ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | +700 | 🔥 HOT | 73 | 0.116 | 90.3 | 5.8% | 5.0% | 371 | 7.8% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
J. T. Realmuto | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.079 | 88.5 | 5.7% | 11.1% | 393 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 12.3% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Adolis García | 41 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 163 | 0.107 | 92.2 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 388 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Justin Crawford | 34 | ⚪ D | +900 | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.113 | 87.5 | 4.2% | 10.0% | 382 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 28 |
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Andy Pages | 66 | 🔵 C+ | +475 | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.234 | 90.1 | 7.2% | 30.0% | 388 | 18.5% | 25.0% | 34.1% | 41 |
| 2 |
|
Shohei Ohtani ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | +305 | · | 33 | 0.212 | 93.3 | 9.5% | 20.0% | 400 | 13.2% | 25.0% | 42.1% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Max Muncy | 60 | 🔵 C+ | +400 | ❄ COLD | 52 | 0.249 | 91.5 | 9.8% | 28.6% | 406 | 18.9% | 6.7% | 37.7% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Teoscar Hernández | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.184 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 16.7% | 383 | 9.5% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Freddie Freeman ⚡ | 55 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.187 | 91.8 | 8.1% | 16.7% | 393 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 35.6% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Will Smith | 50 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌤️ WARM | 110 | 0.122 | 90.1 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 399 | 11.8% | 20.0% | 13.5% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Freeland | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 187 | 0.117 | 88.9 | 6.7% | 13.0% | 388 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 36 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.144 | 89.1 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 397 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Hyeseong Kim | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 240 | 0.067 | 85.8 | 4.3% | 5.0% | 372 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 19 |