PHI
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.774
Temp
49.6°F
Wind
11.3 mph
cross
Roof
open
Shota Imanaga
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 11 | 0.312 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 35.0% | 409 | 22.2% | 18.2% | 29.8% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.238 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 18.2% | 422 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 127 | 0.130 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 147 | 0.139 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 413 | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 152 | 0.112 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 8.3% | 359 | 11.1% | 18.2% | 6.7% | 39 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 173 | 0.117 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 208 | 0.054 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 354 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 28 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 209 | 0.100 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 401 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 20 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 14 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 226 | 0.032 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 26 |
Jesús Luzardo
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 77 | 🟡 B | · | · | 15 | 0.282 | 90.9 | 18.4% | 35.3% | 377 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 31.1% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.222 | 93.8 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 403 | 14.3% | 20.0% | 28.2% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 39 | 0.219 | 90.7 | 13.5% | 25.0% | 377 | 23.8% | 27.3% | 28.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 58 | 0.166 | 95.2 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 422 | 10.5% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 115 | 0.200 | 87.6 | 8.1% | 16.7% | 361 | 17.6% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 149 | 0.184 | 84.6 | 0.0% | 14.3% | 369 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 50 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.100 | 90.7 | 6.7% | 11.8% | 388 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.084 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 5.6% | 389 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Michael Busch | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.026 | 84.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 31 |