⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
MIN
@ 7:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.605
Temp
38.5°F
Wind
7.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 59 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 47 0.232 89.6 22.2% 33.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 27
2 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 123 0.102 89.1 8.6% 5.9% 402 5.3% 10.0% 6.7% 41
3 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.148 87.2 2.9% 15.4% 406 14.3% 14.3% 8.9% 25
4 Luis Robert Jr. 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.114 89.5 5.0% 20.0% 400 16.7% 0.0% 8.2% 29
5 Jorge Polanco Jorge Polanco 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.107 87.3 4.4% 10.0% 346 5.3% 14.3% 8.3% 18
6 Carson Benge Carson Benge 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 167 0.063 89.9 2.9% 12.5% 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 22
7 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.066 90.4 1.8% 10.0% 344 5.3% 11.1% 7.4% 36
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.077 90.8 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 23
9 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 20 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.078 86.7 5.9% 4.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 37
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 54 🟠 C · · 59 0.185 92.7 15.6% 14.3% 403 11.8% 22.2% 13.4% 27
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 84 0.172 89.8 14.9% 15.0% 420 10.5% 20.0% 14.2% 34
3 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.147 88.0 12.5% 14.3% 398 6.2% 14.3% 11.0% 13
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 39 ⚪ D · · 121 0.184 89.6 11.4% 16.7% 392 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 40
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 37 ⚪ D · · 134 0.152 89.4 8.8% 33.3% 413 16.7% 0.0% 8.6% 18
6 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 37 ⚪ D · · 137 0.156 88.2 5.1% 21.4% 367 16.7% 30.0% 13.9% 36
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 168 0.133 83.2 3.7% 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 23
8 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 214 0.065 88.9 6.7% 10.0% 423 5.3% 11.1% 6.0% 31
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 217 0.070 84.9 3.4% 4.5% 367 5.3% 0.0% 5.2% 40
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