⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
MIL
@ 1:40p
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.94×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.943
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gary Sánchez Gary Sánchez 84 🟢 A · ❄ COLD 13 0.421 91.4 29.4% 71.4% 405 50.0% 33.3% 34.5% 20
2 Jake Bauers Jake Bauers 79 🟡 B · · 22 0.250 93.7 15.4% 38.5% 395 40.0% 40.0% 31.7% 29
3 Brice Turang Brice Turang 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.283 93.5 10.3% 28.6% 401 15.8% 18.2% 29.3% 28
4 Garrett Mitchell Garrett Mitchell 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.149 96.8 19.0% 25.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 11
5 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 35 ⚪ D · · 164 0.107 85.6 7.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 32
6 Brandon Lockridge Brandon Lockridge 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 247 0.039 83.9 3.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 21
7 David Hamilton David Hamilton 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 254 0.000 84.2 3.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 22
8 Luis Matos Luis Matos 13 ⚪ D · · 258 · 89.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 8
9 Greg Jones Greg Jones 12 ⚪ D · · 260 · · 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.175 92.8 22.2% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 15
2 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.224 93.0 13.2% 16.7% 385 10.5% 8.3% 16.4% 39
3 Connor Norby Connor Norby 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.174 87.4 10.5% 11.1% 376 10.5% 16.7% 15.2% 30
4 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 44 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 122 0.218 88.8 6.1% 26.7% 367 23.5% 9.1% 17.2% 41
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 159 0.139 89.8 3.4% 6.2% 377 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 42
6 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.123 88.5 6.1% 11.1% 418 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 38
7 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 172 0.143 87.3 2.2% 16.7% 404 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 36
8 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 222 0.130 81.7 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 23
9 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 229 0.062 88.3 2.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 40
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