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MIL
@
2:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.279
Temp
89.7°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Tatsuya Imai
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Bauers | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.254 | 91.7 | 10.9% | 31.0% | 401 | 14.3% | 18.2% | 33.2% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Yelich | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.179 | 88.7 | 8.5% | 20.0% | 402 | 8.7% | 28.6% | 27.0% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Gary Sánchez | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.218 | 87.3 | 10.3% | 21.4% | 405 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 20.7% | 3 |
| 4 |
|
Garrett Mitchell | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.140 | 92.7 | 11.8% | 27.3% | 415 | 5.6% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Turang | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 93 | 0.186 | 91.1 | 9.0% | 29.6% | 400 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 18.5% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Andrew Vaughn | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.190 | 87.8 | 6.4% | 16.7% | 403 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Sal Frelick | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 176 | 0.089 | 85.7 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 402 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Ortiz | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 203 | 0.042 | 86.7 | 5.6% | 6.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
David Hamilton | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.075 | 85.2 | 4.4% | 0.0% | 343 | 2.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 23 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.332 | 94.7 | 7.6% | 26.1% | 403 | 28.9% | 12.5% | 30.6% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 43 | 0.267 | 90.7 | 6.3% | 36.1% | 391 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 31.4% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 6.4% | 12.5% | 417 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 9.6% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jeremy Peña ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 181 | 0.120 | 85.1 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 423 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 10.9% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Meyers | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.141 | 86.9 | 5.1% | 14.3% | 391 | 10.5% | 20.0% | 8.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.132 | 86.4 | 3.8% | 16.2% | 369 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Taylor Trammell | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 225 | 0.167 | 88.3 | 3.0% | 16.7% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 2.5% | 18.8% | 373 | 6.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.077 | 85.7 | · | 0.0% | 367 | 5.3% | 25.0% | 8.8% | 14 |