⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
LAD
@ 8:10p
HOU
Minute Maid Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.143
Temp
72.7°F
Wind
11.5 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 61 🔵 C+ · · 4 0.280 90.9 · 38.9% 398 21.2% 33.3% 33.9% 38
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 60 🔵 C+ · · 5 0.381 93.8 · 23.3% 393 42.1% 25.0% 21.2% 44
3 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 37 0.145 87.6 · 15.0% 374 6.1% 16.7% 12.4% 43
4 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.208 87.1 · 16.7% 409 14.3% 14.3% 16.8% 30
5 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 32 ⚪ D · · 95 0.129 89.1 · 0.0% 384 5.3% 8.3% 7.8% 33
6 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 31 ⚪ D · · 97 0.120 87.8 · 11.8% 380 6.7% 9.1% 7.5% 34
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 108 0.146 85.8 · 25.0% 378 6.5% 0.0% 9.8% 36
8 Cam Smith Cam Smith 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.138 88.8 · 20.0% 406 12.5% 9.1% 9.0% 23
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.086 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Max Muncy Max Muncy 45 ⚪ D · · 33 0.163 92.3 · 36.4% 409 20.0% 17.4% 21.7% 44
2 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 42 0.218 94.1 · 25.0% 400 9.7% 7.7% 14.7% 31
3 Andy Pages Andy Pages 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 59 0.197 90.8 · 20.0% 392 12.9% 0.0% 16.5% 39
4 Will Smith Will Smith 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 77 0.112 88.8 · 0.0% 406 10.0% 8.3% 6.7% 24
5 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 82 0.130 89.3 · 12.5% 404 3.3% 0.0% 7.2% 37
6 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 93 0.155 92.1 · 12.5% 412 6.7% 0.0% 8.5% 41
7 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 94 0.163 90.7 · 0.0% 387 5.3% 0.0% 9.1% 32
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 146 0.091 89.0 · 9.1% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 20
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.093 85.4 · 10.0% 372 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 29
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