⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
LAA
@ 7:05p
NYY
Yankee Stadium · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.978
Temp
56.8°F
Wind
7.9 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 61 🔵 C+ · · 9 0.206 92.9 14.1% 21.3% 403 14.3% 0.0% 18.1% 28
2 Zach Neto Zach Neto 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 10 0.217 90.6 9.4% 17.8% 392 28.6% 27.3% 29.5% 34
3 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 60 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 11 0.172 84.9 5.6% 15.6% 363 28.6% 27.3% 21.9% 28
4 Jo Adell Jo Adell 58 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 14 0.249 89.1 4.6% 22.0% 411 7.1% 9.1% 21.9% 38
5 Yoan Moncada Yoan Moncada 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 23 0.214 90.4 9.3% 16.4% 379 8.3% 11.1% 27.9% 11
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 43 ⚪ D · · 44 0.247 88.4 0.0% 18.2% · 0.0% 0.0% 19.9% 38
7 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 40 ⚪ D · · 51 0.158 86.7 7.8% 16.4% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 27
8 Luis Rengifo Luis Rengifo 33 ⚪ D · · 65 0.098 87.2 7.8% 8.8% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 30
9 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 68 0.125 87.8 4.5% 8.2% 361 14.3% 0.0% 7.2% 35
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

6 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.86

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.