COL
@
—
MIA
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.090
Wind
0 mph
dome
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Stowers ⚡ | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 11 | 0.256 | 91.1 | 12.9% | 22.9% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.5% | 3 |
| 2 |
|
Eric Wagaman | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.128 | 91.0 | 7.7% | 6.6% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Agustin Ramirez | 51 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 60 | 0.182 | 90.8 | 9.8% | 13.9% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 1 |
| 4 |
|
Connor Norby | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.138 | 88.3 | 9.1% | 9.9% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 9 |
| 5 |
|
Otto Lopez | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 140 | 0.121 | 88.5 | 7.9% | 9.5% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 8 |
| 6 |
|
Dane Myers | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 164 | 0.091 | 90.7 | 8.3% | 7.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.153 | 88.5 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 9 |
| 8 |
|
Liam Hicks | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 198 | 0.099 | 84.6 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 6 |
| 9 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 236 | 0.070 | 86.8 | 2.6% | 2.2% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 3 |
Eury Pérez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.243 | 90.8 | 10.7% | 18.6% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Willi Castro | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 77 | 0.139 | 86.7 | 7.6% | 10.1% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 10 |
| 3 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.143 | 89.9 | 9.9% | 11.2% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 1 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.147 | 89.4 | 9.2% | 9.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Troy Johnston | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 150 | 0.143 | 89.6 | 9.2% | 12.5% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Edouard Julien | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 154 | 0.104 | 89.2 | 10.5% | 10.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 4 |
| 7 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 171 | 0.141 | 84.7 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 2 |
| 8 | TJ Rumfield | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 4.9% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 0 | |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Karros | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 205 | 0.051 | 87.9 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 22 |