COL
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.28×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.276
Temp
61.7°F
Wind
17.3 mph
cross
Roof
open
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 7 | 0.284 | 93.2 | 13.2% | 26.3% | 402 | 22.7% | 30.0% | 33.3% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 83 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.368 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 33.3% | 416 | 21.7% | 16.7% | 58.4% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 108 | 0.108 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 25.0% | 375 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 27 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 109 | 0.150 | 86.4 | 9.0% | 6.2% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 34 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.102 | 88.0 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.6% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.105 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 13.0% | 401 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Karros | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 135 | 0.075 | 90.2 | 6.8% | 12.5% | 448 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 31 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.134 | 89.8 | 3.1% | 25.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.4% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.065 | 90.3 | 4.4% | 9.1% | 408 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 20 |