COL
@
10:10p
AZ
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.837
Temp
77.3°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Corbin Carroll | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🔥 HOT | 39 | 0.258 | 91.1 | 11.9% | 26.1% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22.0% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Ketel Marte | 47 | ⚪ D | +390 | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.173 | 92.0 | 10.2% | 21.4% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 47 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Arenado ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | +625 | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.206 | 85.0 | 8.3% | 19.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Gabriel Moreno | 46 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 128 | 0.200 | 88.8 | 10.7% | 10.0% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Ildemaro Vargas | 38 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.210 | 87.1 | 6.1% | 15.0% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 52 |
| 6 |
|
Adrian Del Castillo ⚡ | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 212 | 0.129 | 88.6 | 8.4% | 14.3% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Alek Thomas | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 213 | 0.175 | 89.9 | 9.0% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 11 |
| 8 |
|
Geraldo Perdomo ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 237 | 0.121 | 87.4 | 5.8% | 4.5% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Jose Fernandez ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 268 | 0.102 | 88.7 | 6.3% | 30.0% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 23 |
Zac Gallen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 47 | 0.311 | 89.7 | 12.1% | 25.0% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 48 | ⚪ D | +370 | ❄ COLD | 105 | 0.242 | 91.3 | 11.8% | 29.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.3% | 31 |
| 3 | tj rumfield | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 183 | 0.162 | 85.6 | 9.2% | 20.0% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 33 | |
| 4 |
|
Edouard Julien ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.125 | 91.2 | 9.4% | 15.0% | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 215 | 0.073 | 87.8 | 7.8% | 7.7% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 13 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 33 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.111 | 87.8 | 8.5% | 10.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 30 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 236 | 0.095 | 89.1 | 7.6% | 8.7% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 29 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 245 | 0.164 | 88.8 | 4.3% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Karros | 22 | ⚪ D | +800 | ❄ COLD | 270 | 0.082 | 88.9 | 7.3% | 9.1% | 448 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 26 |