⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
COL
@ 10:10p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.837
Temp
77.3°F
Wind
2.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 63 🔵 C+ +390 🔥 HOT 39 0.258 91.1 11.9% 26.1% 417 0.0% 0.0% 22.0% 34
2 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 47 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 115 0.173 92.0 10.2% 21.4% 409 0.0% 0.0% 12.4% 47
3 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 46 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 122 0.206 85.0 8.3% 19.2% 401 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 34
4 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 46 ⚪ D +850 · 128 0.200 88.8 10.7% 10.0% 413 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 31
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 38 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 190 0.210 87.1 6.1% 15.0% 399 0.0% 0.0% 13.9% 52
6 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 35 ⚪ D · · 212 0.129 88.6 8.4% 14.3% 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 17
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 213 0.175 89.9 9.0% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 11
8 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 30 ⚪ D +850 · 237 0.121 87.4 5.8% 4.5% 382 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 40
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 23 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 268 0.102 88.7 6.3% 30.0% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak 59 🟠 C · · 47 0.311 89.7 12.1% 25.0% 417 0.0% 0.0% 13.2% 29
2 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 48 ⚪ D +370 ❄ COLD 105 0.242 91.3 11.8% 29.0% 400 0.0% 0.0% 18.3% 31
3 tj rumfield 39 ⚪ D · · 183 0.162 85.6 9.2% 20.0% 413 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 33
4 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 36 ⚪ D · · 206 0.125 91.2 9.4% 15.0% 389 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 18
5 Brenton Doyle Brenton Doyle 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 215 0.073 87.8 7.8% 7.7% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 13
6 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 33 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 225 0.111 87.8 8.5% 10.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 29
7 Willi Castro Willi Castro 30 ⚪ D +850 · 236 0.095 89.1 7.6% 8.7% 406 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 30
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 29 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 245 0.164 88.8 4.3% 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 27
9 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 22 ⚪ D +800 ❄ COLD 270 0.082 88.9 7.3% 9.1% 448 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 26
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