CHC
@
6:40p
PHI
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.199
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
4.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Riley Martin
LHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 78 | 🟡 B | · | · | 5 | 0.323 | 94.3 | 11.1% | 28.6% | 413 | 25.0% | 22.2% | 38.3% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.226 | 86.7 | 7.5% | 18.5% | 423 | 16.7% | 22.2% | 26.9% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 62 | 0.164 | 89.7 | 3.5% | 11.7% | 454 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.150 | 90.3 | 4.8% | 10.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Alec Bohm | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.123 | 86.0 | 0.0% | 10.0% | 354 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 35 |
| 6 | J.T. Realmuto | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 107 | 0.127 | 91.3 | 4.4% | 9.3% | 401 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 24 | |
| 7 |
|
Bryson Stott | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.134 | 91.6 | 6.5% | 7.8% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Trea Turner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 117 | 0.153 | 88.8 | 3.3% | 9.4% | · | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 39 |
Aaron Nola
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 71 | 🟡 B | · | · | 12 | 0.178 | 92.1 | 18.0% | 13.3% | 377 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.173 | 91.2 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 380 | 20.0% | 27.3% | 26.9% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 24 | 0.234 | 91.9 | 7.3% | 14.2% | · | 6.7% | 9.1% | 20.6% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Busch | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 27 | 0.261 | 88.1 | 7.0% | 20.9% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.2% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 59 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 35 | 0.168 | 90.1 | 13.1% | 10.8% | 361 | 23.1% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 39 | 0.179 | 94.9 | 14.3% | 13.6% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 76 | 0.198 | 89.8 | 7.2% | 11.8% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.9% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 137 | 0.097 | 85.5 | 0.0% | 3.7% | · | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 41 |