⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CHC
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 16 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.20×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.199
Temp
64.8°F
Wind
4.4 mph
out
Roof
open
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 78 🟡 B · · 5 0.323 94.3 11.1% 28.6% 413 25.0% 22.2% 38.3% 23
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.226 86.7 7.5% 18.5% 423 16.7% 22.2% 26.9% 38
3 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 62 0.164 89.7 3.5% 11.7% 454 9.1% 11.1% 11.6% 34
4 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.150 90.3 4.8% 10.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 23
5 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 106 0.123 86.0 0.0% 10.0% 354 8.3% 0.0% 7.2% 35
6 J.T. Realmuto 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 107 0.127 91.3 4.4% 9.3% 401 9.1% 12.5% 6.9% 24
7 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 112 0.134 91.6 6.5% 7.8% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 34
8 Trea Turner Trea Turner 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 117 0.153 88.8 3.3% 9.4% · 8.3% 11.1% 8.1% 39
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 71 🟡 B · · 12 0.178 92.1 18.0% 13.3% 377 33.3% 18.2% 15.2% 24
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.173 91.2 12.2% 15.5% 380 20.0% 27.3% 26.9% 26
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.234 91.9 7.3% 14.2% · 6.7% 9.1% 20.6% 32
4 Michael Busch Michael Busch 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.261 88.1 7.0% 20.9% · 0.0% 0.0% 26.2% 28
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 59 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 35 0.168 90.1 13.1% 10.8% 361 23.1% 30.0% 18.6% 28
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 57 🟠 C · · 39 0.179 94.9 14.3% 13.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 24
7 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 76 0.198 89.8 7.2% 11.8% 404 0.0% 0.0% 15.9% 34
8 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 137 0.097 85.5 0.0% 3.7% · 6.7% 9.1% 5.9% 41
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